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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javokhir Sindarov | 74% | — | — | 73¢ · 74¢ (1¢) | $124 | in 75d |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 27% | — | — | 26¢ · 27¢ (1¢) | — | in 257d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | ldnoey | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo73¢ → 74¢ | $4,964 | +$34 +0.7% | 4 |
| 11d | legioncre | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes73¢ → 74¢ | $7,685 | +$53 +0.7% | 22 |
| 20d | Pulpo94 | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes72¢ → 74¢ | $2,000 | +$42 +2.1% | 23 |
| 26d | evrenucok | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes72¢ → 74¢ | $1,000 | +$21 +2.1% | 23 |
| 29d | Crazy-Leptocephalus | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes72¢ → 74¢ | $3,000 | +$63 +2.1% | 23 |
| 75d | HighlandSpring | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes69¢ → 74¢ | $1,045 | −$68 −6.5% | — |
| 77d |  norrisfan | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes66¢ → 74¢ | $2,850 | +$324 +11% | 24 |
| 77d | 0x2a5f…6c92 | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo67¢ → 74¢ | $3,001 | +$291 +9.7% | 4 |
| 78d | Sunny-Dentist | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo67¢ → 74¢ | $1,120 | +$109 +9.7% | 4 |
norrisfan4,333 shares
StudyPrediction13,227 sharesThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 74¢ for Javokhir Sindarov means the market gives it about 74%.