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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Databricks | 3% | — | +1 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| Discord | 7% | — | 0 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Anduril | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| Stripe | 2% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Freddie Mac | 4% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | — | in 76d |
| Brex | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Celonis | 9% | +1 pts | +6 pts | 3¢ · 14¢ (11¢) | — | in 76d |
| Applied Intuition | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 76d |
| Fannie Mae | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Mistral AI | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Ripple Labs | 3% | 0 pts | — | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Ramp | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Vanta | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Deel | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Rippling | 10% | +3 pts | +6 pts | 3¢ · 17¢ (14¢) | — | in 76d |
| Anysphere (Cursor) | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 76d |
| Epic Games | 1% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Revolut | 5% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| Anduril Industries | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Remote | 4% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 76d |
| Waymo | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| Glean | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Canva | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 76d |
| ByteDance | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Anthropic | 73% | −1 pts | −5 pts | 72¢ · 73¢ (1¢) | $9K | in 76d |
| WHOOP | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| OpenAI | 3% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $2.09K | in 76d |
| Ledger | 7% | +5 pts | +5 pts | 4¢ · 11¢ (7¢) | $170 | in 76d |
| Perplexity | 4% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h | Self-Assured-Puggle | Anthropic | BuyYes74¢ → 73¢ | $1,085 | −$18 −1.7% | 28 |
| 17d | 0xe617…f251 | OpenAI | BuyNo97¢ | $10,000 | +$53 +0.5% | 22 |
| 18d | 0xe617…f251 | Anthropic | BuyYes84¢ → 73¢ | $5,000 | −$667 −13% | 31 |
| 24d | jcsberger | Epic Games | BuyNo93¢ → 99¢ | $1,463 | +$81 +5.5% | 20 |
| 25d | jcsberger | Databricks | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $2,255 | +$23 +1.0% | 20 |
| 26d | imjustalarp | OpenAI | SellNo97¢ | $2,330 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 26d | QMG-CORE | Fannie Mae | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,182 | +$33 +2.8% | 20 |
| 27d | geowatch | Anthropic | BuyYes78¢ → 73¢ | $1,000 | −$66 −6.6% | 27 |
| 28d | 0x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE4211 | OpenAI | SellNo97¢ | $1,141 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 28d |  GollumGekko | Anthropic | BuyNo17¢ → 28¢ | $1,049 | +$648 +62% | 30 |
| 28d | GollumGekko | Anthropic | SellYes83¢ → 73¢ | $2,088 | +$264 +13% | — |
| 28d |  DEGENKHAN | OpenAI | BuyNo97¢ | $1,440 | +$5 +0.4% | 22 |
| 29d | jcsberger | Anthropic | SellYes85¢ → 73¢ | $1,067 | +$161 +15% | — |
| 29d | jcsberger | Anduril | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $2,040 | +$34 +1.7% | 20 |
| 30d |  Joy-bing2 fills | Anthropic | BuyYes90¢ → 73¢ | $5,000 | −$955 −19% | 27 |
| 31d |  StupidMonkeyyy | Anthropic | SellYes83¢ → 73¢ | $1,956 | +$247 +13% | — |
| 31d | Thoughtful-Scalp | OpenAI | SellNo95¢ → 97¢ | $1,151 | −$28 −2.5% | — |
| 33d | nelbal8486 | OpenAI | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $4,506 | +$208 +4.6% | 25 |
| 34d |  balthazar | OpenAI | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,206 | +$57 +4.7% | 25 |
| 34d | StupidMonkeyyy2 fills | OpenAI | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $5,342 | −$297 −5.6% | — |
| 34d | enrico-vasaio | OpenAI | BuyNo97¢ | $3,728 | +$6 +0.2% | 22 |
| 34d |  Ahpo | OpenAI | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $1,846 | +$103 +5.6% | 25 |
| 35d | jcsberger | Anduril Industries | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,056 | +$31 +2.9% | 20 |
| 35d | gambler9252 fills | Anthropic | SellYes87¢ → 73¢ | $2,612 | +$442 +17% | — |
| 43d | jyPoz | OpenAI | SellNo91¢ → 97¢ | $1,126 | −$83 −7.3% | — |
| 44d | Paul9739733 fills | Anthropic | BuyYes89¢ → 73¢ | $6,100 | −$1,121 −18% | 27 |
| 45d | StupidMonkeyyy2 fills | OpenAI | BuyNo85¢ → 97¢ | $8,812 | +$1,208 +14% | 30 |
| 45d |  Zachattack500 | Anthropic | SellYes93¢ → 73¢ | $1,145 | +$252 +22% | — |
| 46d |  Dr.mett | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,108 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 47d | Larry88 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,831 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 52d |  wish- | Anduril Industries | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $1,804 | +$95 +5.3% | 20 |
| 55d | StupidMonkeyyy | Anthropic | BuyYes88¢ → 73¢ | $1,817 | −$320 −18% | 26 |
| 57d |  MEPP | OpenAI | BuyNo81¢ → 97¢ | $2,283 | +$460 +20% | 33 |
| 57d |  moksel | Anthropic | BuyYes87¢ → 73¢ | $1,740 | −$290 −17% | 27 |
| 57d |  mewmew1 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | −$25 −2.0% | — |
| 59d |  drogo69 | Anthropic | SellYes84¢ → 73¢ | $1,014 | +$144 +14% | — |
| 61d | skibabiba | Anthropic | BuyYes83¢ → 73¢ | $3,562 | −$451 −13% | 31 |
| 61d |  ImJustKen | Anthropic | BuyYes81¢ → 73¢ | $5,504 | −$596 −11% | 32 |
| 61d | gambler925 | Anthropic | BuyYes80¢ → 73¢ | $1,344 | −$126 −9.4% | 28 |
| 63d |  Contentious-Dinnerdate2 fills | OpenAI | SellNo79¢ → 97¢ | $2,578 | −$589 −23% | — |
| 67d | Ahpo2 fills | Anthropic | BuyYes77¢ → 73¢ | $2,785 | −$162 −5.8% | 35 |
| 67d | Vacant-Sari | Anthropic | BuyYes76¢ → 73¢ | $4,914 | −$226 −4.6% | 36 |
| 74d | gydmasg | OpenAI | BuyNo82¢ → 97¢ | $1,051 | +$194 +18% | 32 |
| 88d | sanalid | OpenAI | SellNo81¢ → 97¢ | $1,707 | −$339 −20% | — |
| 97d |  Esports2026 | OpenAI | BuyNo78¢ → 97¢ | $1,178 | +$292 +25% | 35 |
| 100d |  ronm238 | Mistral AI | SellNo89¢ → 98¢ | $2,756 | −$288 −10% | — |
| 101d | Ahpo | Databricks | BuyNo84¢ → 97¢ | $1,343 | +$213 +16% | 20 |
| 101d | Contentious-Dinnerdate | Anthropic | SellYes73¢ | $1,038 | +$11 +1.1% | — |
| 104d | nonkenny90 | OpenAI | BuyNo76¢ → 97¢ | $1,444 | +$402 +28% | 36 |
| 113d | ronm238 | Mistral AI | BuyNo86¢ → 98¢ | $1,900 | +$261 +14% | 20 |
| 118d | QMG-CORE | Ripple Labs | BuyNo88¢ → 97¢ | $2,659 | +$283 +11% | 20 |
| 123d |  WindsonC | OpenAI | BuyYes64¢ → 3¢ | $2,000 | −$1,910 −96% | 40 |
| 123d | WindsonC | Anthropic | BuyYes83¢ → 73¢ | $2,000 | −$244 −12% | 30 |
| 127d | Comatose | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,620 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 128d | 2024 | ByteDance | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,108 | −$43 −3.9% | — |
| 128d | Olcan | OpenAI | BuyYes50¢ → 3¢ | $1,287 | −$1,214 −94% | 40 |
| 128d | VikoVikoViko | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,347 | +$9 +0.4% | 20 |
| 128d | MegaLucario | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,761 | +$11 +0.4% | 20 |
| 128d | TwoChina | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,274 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
KimJonEn856 shares
ammarb693 sharesAhpo846 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Databricks means the market gives it about 3%.