| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 24,354 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $23,392 | +$1,964 +9.2% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 17,000 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $16,277 | +$1,560 +11% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9,101 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $8,856 | +$334 +3.9% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 8,600 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $8,484 | +$375 +4.6% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 8,667 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $8,467 | +$490 +6.1% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 7,157 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $6,975 | −$5 −0.1% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 6,700 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $6,264 | +$302 +5.1% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 6,372 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $5,929 | −$75 −1.2% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6,099 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $5,891 | +$47 +0.8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6,000 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $5,823 | +$563 +11% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6,000 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $5,550 | −$110 −1.9% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,158 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $4,926 | +$735 +18% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,000 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $4,725 | +$10 +0.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,000 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $4,225 | +$5 +0.1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 4,000 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $3,858 | +$123 +3.3% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,944 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $3,831 | +$17 +0.4% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,100 | 39¢ → 75¢ | $3,799 | +$1,798 +90% |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Ends in 134d | No | 3,229 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $3,179 | +$34 +1.1% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,000 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $2,882 | +$402 +16% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3,000 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $2,655 | +$204 +8.3% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3,000 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $2,625 | +$146 +5.9% |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,665 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $2,570 | +$32 +1.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 4,671 | 24¢ → 50¢ | $2,312 | +$1,205 +109% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,378 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $2,282 | +$81 +3.7% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,300 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $2,229 | +$97 +4.5% |
| GTA VI released by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2,064 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $2,057 | +$107 +5.5% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | No | 2,041 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $1,950 | +$386 +25% |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,051 | 37¢ → 94¢ | $1,935 | +$1,178 +156% |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,000 | 55¢ → 94¢ | $1,880 | +$775 +70% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,000 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $1,870 | +$10 +0.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,023 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $1,757 | +$70 +4.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,547 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $1,544 | +$78 +5.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,634 | 39¢ → 86¢ | $1,397 | +$760 +119% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,864 | 53¢ → 72¢ | $1,333 | +$346 +35% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,335 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $1,291 | +$7 +0.5% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,573 | 32¢ → 82¢ | $1,282 | +$775 +153% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,257 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $1,144 | +$50 +4.5% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,200 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $1,134 | +$71 +6.7% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,100 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,076 | +$25 +2.4% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,100 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $1,065 | +$50 +4.9% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 3,041 | 21¢ → 35¢ | $1,049 | +$396 +61% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 999 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $972 | +$39 +4.2% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $968 | +$69 +7.6% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,010 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $965 | +$108 +13% |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,970 | 68¢ → 49¢ | $955 | −$392 −29% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 1,000 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $955 | +$35 +3.8% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 991 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $945 | +$27 +3.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 95¢ → 92¢ | $920 | −$30 −3.2% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,001 | 80¢ → 92¢ | $916 | +$116 +15% |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 947 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $853 | +$29 +3.5% |
| Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 895 | 28¢ → 90¢ | $806 | +$557 +224% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $765 | +$4 +0.5% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 938 | 47¢ → 76¢ | $713 | +$273 +62% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 782 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $668 | +$60 +9.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,311 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $596 | +$3 +0.6% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 800 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $580 | +$20 +3.6% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $574 | −$2 −0.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 800 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $544 | +$12 +2.3% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 536 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $520 | +$25 +5.0% |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 954 | 76¢ → 54¢ | $515 | −$211 −29% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 600 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $513 | +$12 +2.4% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 508 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $498 | −$1 −0.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,000 | 37¢ → 17¢ | $495 | −$602 −55% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $483 | +$10 +2.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 650 | 82¢ → 71¢ | $464 | −$71 −13% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $463 | +$28 +6.3% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 85¢ → 76¢ | $453 | −$57 −11% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 554 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $446 | +$25 +5.9% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 55¢ → 88¢ | $440 | +$165 +60% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $438 | −$8 −1.7% |
| Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 421 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $395 | +$21 +5.6% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $391 | +$51 +15% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 416 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $387 | $0 0.0% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $386 | +$18 +4.8% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $385 | +$55 +17% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 400 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $378 | +$22 +6.2% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 400 | 80¢ → 92¢ | $366 | +$48 +15% |
| Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 368 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $363 | +$22 +6.6% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 403 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $363 | +$8 +2.3% |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 356 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $346 | +$5 +1.5% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | No | 400 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $340 | +$8 +2.5% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | Yes | 500 | 76¢ → 62¢ | $308 | −$73 −19% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $291 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 81¢ → 73¢ | $290 | −$34 −10% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 325 | 65¢ → 86¢ | $279 | +$70 +33% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 300 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $276 | −$3 −1.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 300 | 64¢ → 81¢ | $243 | +$51 +27% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 400 | 57¢ → 61¢ | $242 | +$14 +6.1% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 600 | 13¢ → 40¢ | $237 | +$159 +204% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?Ends in 61d | No | 245 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $235 | +$10 +4.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 218 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $215 | +$9 +4.2% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 70¢ → 83¢ | $206 | +$31 +18% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 233 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $200 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 59¢ → 98¢ | $197 | +$79 +67% |
| Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 212 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $196 | +$22 +13% |
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 286 | 46¢ → 68¢ | $194 | +$63 +48% |
| Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $193 | +$3 +1.8% |
| Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $192 | +$22 +13% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 67¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$49 +37% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 540 | 16¢ → 34¢ | $181 | +$93 +105% |
