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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| December 31, 2027 | 25% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 24¢ · 25¢ (1¢) | $10 | in 441d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54d |  dpnd | December 31, 2027 | BuyNo77¢ → 76¢ | $4,202 | −$76 −1.8% | 19 |
| 70d |  DEGENKHAN | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,213 | +$8 +0.7% | 4 |
| 82d | 0x8931…a90c | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $2,347 | +$45 +1.9% | 4 |
Dr.PNL487 shares
LornaPredicts287 sharesDEGENKHAN1,981 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 2%.