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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $11.8K | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16h |  estuprador2 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $4,444 | −$13 −0.3% | 6 |
| 10d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $4,608 | +$100 +2.2% | 8 |
| 11d | Ajjooli | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,125 | +$12 +1.1% | 5 |
| 11d | Another-Allowance | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $2,234 | +$25 +1.1% | 7 |
| 14d | Elias.Thornwell | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $1,216 | +$1 +0.1% | 5 |
| 37d | alwaysOn4 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 96¢ | $15,384 | −$432 −2.8% | — |
| 38d | alwaysOn5 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $16,902 | +$461 +2.7% | 8 |
| 42d | selador | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 96¢ | $18,643 | −$567 −3.0% | — |
| 43d | selador3 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $10,310 | +$256 +2.5% | 8 |
| 74d | Topgold1 | New pandemic in 2026? | SellYes6¢ → 4¢ | $1,345 | +$414 +31% | — |
| 78d | h038596027355 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $1,582 | +$52 +3.3% | 7 |
| 82d | Topgold1 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes8¢ → 4¢ | $1,904 | −$972 −51% | 22 |
| 98d | QMG-SCALAR2 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $2,910 | −$63 −2.2% | — |
| 99d | estuprador2 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $2,679 | −$58 −2.2% | — |
| 99d | QMG-CORE2 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo91¢ → 96¢ | $8,220 | −$425 −5.2% | — |
| 102d | Pink-Subgroup | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $4,700 | +$103 +2.2% | 8 |
| 102d | BetPure | New pandemic in 2026? | SellYes6¢ → 4¢ | $1,554 | +$576 +37% | — |
| 104d |  Talophex | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 96¢ | $1,840 | +$81 +4.4% | 7 |
| 111d | justme003 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 96¢ | $1,030 | +$57 +5.5% | 6 |
| 124d | WayneWarren9480 | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo89¢ → 96¢ | $1,665 | −$132 −7.9% | — |
| 126d | fledger2 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo90¢ → 96¢ | $3,036 | −$204 −6.7% | — |
| 129d | fledger | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 96¢ | $4,500 | +$303 +6.7% | 11 |
| 135d |  debased | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo88¢ → 96¢ | $2,979 | −$272 −9.1% | — |
| 141d |  O3O | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 96¢ | $1,800 | +$121 +6.7% | 8 |
| 142d | Rmimo2020PM | New pandemic in 2026? | SellYes11¢ → 4¢ | $2,458 | +$1,569 +64% | — |
| 143d | BetPure | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes12¢ → 4¢ | $1,500 | −$1,006 −67% | 17 |
| 145d | Bet1nthedark | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 96¢ | $3,500 | +$277 +7.9% | 11 |
| 145d | enrico-vasaio | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 96¢ | $2,670 | +$212 +7.9% | 11 |
| 147d | Rmimo2020PM | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes11¢ → 4¢ | $2,000 | −$1,292 −65% | 23 |
| 148d | 23449 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes12¢ → 4¢ | $1,186 | −$791 −67% | 13 |
| 149d | PublioCornelio | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes12¢ → 4¢ | $1,061 | −$709 −67% | 12 |
| 149d | ArcturianEndevours | New pandemic in 2026? | SellYes10¢ → 4¢ | $1,460 | +$880 +60% | — |
| 150d |  Ismaelvisionario | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo89¢ → 96¢ | $2,097 | −$166 −7.9% | — |
| 151d |  Hyperlong | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $2,095 | +$192 +9.1% | 10 |
| 152d | Ismaelvisionario | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $2,073 | +$190 +9.1% | 10 |
| 152d | PassiveStrike | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo87¢ → 96¢ | $1,218 | +$127 +10% | 8 |
| 153d | leanator | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo88¢ → 96¢ | $2,588 | −$228 −8.8% | — |
| 156d | newbiereal | New pandemic in 2026? | SellYes10¢ → 4¢ | $1,553 | +$961 +62% | — |
| 160d | longdated-poli | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo84¢ → 96¢ | $1,063 | −$156 −15% | — |
| 160d | newbiereal | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes14¢ → 4¢ | $2,128 | −$1,515 −71% | 24 |
| 160d | 123pocky | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 96¢ | $1,628 | +$129 +7.9% | 8 |
| 161d | QMG-SCALAR3 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 96¢ | $6,855 | +$785 +11% | 13 |
| 162d | alchimik | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes14¢ → 4¢ | $1,019 | −$734 −72% | 11 |
| 163d |  Brokie | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 96¢ | $2,572 | +$204 +7.9% | 10 |
| 170d | QMG-CORE | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 96¢ | $4,530 | +$273 +6.0% | 10 |
| 201d | JenniferWilliams2856 | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,244 | −$114 −9.1% | — |
| 201d | 6n5 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,146 | +$105 +9.1% | 7 |
| 201d | 0x9243 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,631 | +$149 +9.1% | 8 |
| 201d | JenniferWilliams2856 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,244 | +$114 +9.1% | 7 |
| 206d | pichwish | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,166 | +$107 +9.1% | 7 |
| 207d | BrandonHamilton3527 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,165 | +$107 +9.1% | 7 |
| 208d | EdwardBryant6165 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,389 | +$127 +9.1% | 8 |
| 214d | WayneWarren9480 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,646 | +$151 +9.1% | 8 |
| 233d | 6515616 | New pandemic in 2026? | SellYes13¢ → 4¢ | $1,251 | +$856 +68% | — |
| 241d | 6515616 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes18¢ → 4¢ | $2,246 | −$1,746 −78% | 24 |
| 265d | Revolving-Darn | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo85¢ → 96¢ | $1,105 | +$144 +13% | 8 |
| 266d | PassiveStrike | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo82¢ → 96¢ | $1,803 | −$311 −17% | — |
| 274d | BluntTruthGentleman | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes15¢ → 4¢ | $1,344 | −$985 −73% | 15 |
estuprador11,816 shares
Donny.T11,051 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 4%.