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Polymarket wallet 0xec23ab2a8be7b9319888d83767f2312a569c90eb · on Polymarket since May 11, 2026 · also shown as Coarse-Author
Profit is a variable, survival is the constant.
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,000 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $4,810 | +$160 +3.4% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,000 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1,918 | +$118 +6.6% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,053 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,022 | +$22 +2.2% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$9 +9.6% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$5 +4.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$455 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 20 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.