| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 530,000 | 50¢ → 53¢ | $280,635 | +$15,635 +5.9% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 530,000 | 50¢ → 47¢ | $249,365 | −$15,635 −5.9% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 27,084 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $25,865 | +$3,605 +16% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 22,109 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $21,225 | +$346 +1.7% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 13,602 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $13,554 | +$20 +0.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10,777 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $10,184 | +$377 +3.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 104,564 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $9,934 | −$661 −6.2% |
| Plague pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 8,888 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $8,661 | +$209 +2.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 11,228 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $8,617 | −$572 −6.2% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7,777 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $7,462 | +$652 +9.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 11,111 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $6,944 | +$56 +0.8% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6,716 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $6,625 | +$160 +2.5% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 5,584 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $5,403 | +$25 +0.5% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 5,240 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $4,742 | +$26 +0.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4,120 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $4,036 | +$195 +5.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 10,116 | 14¢ → 24¢ | $2,377 | +$976 +70% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 26,041 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $2,213 | +$3 +0.2% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,814 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $1,806 | +$87 +5.1% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 4,689 | 51¢ → 36¢ | $1,669 | −$723 −30% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,670 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1,609 | +$73 +4.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 39,512 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $1,403 | −$958 −41% |
| Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,424 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1,370 | +$95 +7.5% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 1,553 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $1,203 | −$6 −0.5% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,551 | 65¢ → 76¢ | $1,171 | +$163 +16% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 1,111 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1,100 | +$4 +0.4% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 425,877 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1,065 | −$2,084 −66% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,131 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $1,046 | +$187 +22% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 2,220 | 55¢ → 47¢ | $1,034 | −$192 −16% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 25,974 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $1,013 | −$666 −40% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 6,666 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $900 | −$100 −10.0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 967 | 70¢ → 89¢ | $856 | +$174 +26% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,111 | 58¢ → 77¢ | $850 | +$206 +32% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 843 | 81¢ → 99¢ | $831 | +$144 +21% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,025 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $827 | −$19 −2.3% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 859 | 70¢ → 93¢ | $799 | +$198 +33% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 13,940 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $774 | −$189 −20% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3,439 | 10¢ → 21¢ | $705 | +$371 +111% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 7,401 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $703 | −$75 −9.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 1,111 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $694 | +$28 +4.2% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 724 | 55¢ → 92¢ | $662 | +$267 +68% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 793 | 73¢ → 83¢ | $661 | +$81 +14% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,444 | 7¢ → 14¢ | $633 | +$344 +119% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 602 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $479 | +$15 +3.2% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,210 | 9¢ → 22¢ | $475 | +$276 +139% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 3,494 | 27¢ → 13¢ | $459 | −$493 −52% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 444 | 51¢ → 94¢ | $415 | +$189 +83% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,207 | 40¢ → 8¢ | $404 | −$1,704 −81% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,947 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $398 | +$15 +3.8% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,416 | 25¢ → 28¢ | $389 | +$35 +10% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 803 | 26¢ → 47¢ | $373 | +$162 +77% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,309 | 35¢ → 6¢ | $347 | −$1,833 −84% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 1,126 | 20¢ → 28¢ | $310 | +$84 +37% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 282 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $270 | +$19 +7.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 61,925 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $217 | −$3,071 −93% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,500 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $174 | +$34 +24% |
| Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 256d | Yes | 62,522 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $156 | −$31 −17% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,428 | 19¢ → 4¢ | $151 | −$494 −77% |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 93,718 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $141 | −$182 −56% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 204 | 62¢ → 60¢ | $122 | −$5 −4.0% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 555 | 11¢ → 22¢ | $119 | +$58 +95% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 111 | 23¢ → 96¢ | $106 | +$81 +316% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 22,749 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $102 | −$10 −8.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 333 | 45¢ → 29¢ | $95 | −$54 −36% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 31,791 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $79 | −$295 −79% |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,162 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $67 | +$7 +12% |
| Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 256d | Yes | 111,111 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $56 | −$56 −50% |
| Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 256d | Yes | 10,134 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $46 | +$5 +12% |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,162 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $41 | −$19 −32% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 115 | 56¢ → 32¢ | $36 | −$28 −44% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 39 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $34 | +$4 +15% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 19,731 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $30 | −$3,917 −99% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 268 | 14¢ → 10¢ | $25 | −$11 −31% |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 49,568 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $25 | −$166 −87% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 9,263 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $23 | −$88 −79% |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,162 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $18 | −$42 −69% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 641 | 26¢ → 3¢ | $18 | −$150 −89% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,125 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $13 | −$45 −78% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 325 | 16¢ → 4¢ | $11 | −$41 −78% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 53¢ | $11 | +$3 +41% |
| Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 256d | Yes | 1,556 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $10 | +$2 +30% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,664 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$86 −90% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,777 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,125 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$50 −87% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 37 | 31¢ → 17¢ | $6 | −$5 −46% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3,492 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$9 −62% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherEnds in 17d | Yes | 2,222 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$441 −99% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,155 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$3 −50% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,125 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$55 −96% |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,125 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$55 −96% |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,125 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$55 −96% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,125 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$55 −96% |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,125 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$55 −96% |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,125 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$55 −96% |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,125 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$55 −96% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,125 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$55 −96% |
| Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,162 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$59 −98% |
| Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,162 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$59 −98% |
| Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,162 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$59 −98% |
| Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,162 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$59 −98% |
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,162 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$59 −98% |
