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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | — | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $15.7 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d |  LA17 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $2,934 | +$10 +0.4% | — |
| 5d |  themagicofcinema2 fills | Plague pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ | $6,784 | −$18 −0.3% | — |
| 6d | forinnerpsandr1x112223 fills | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $28,491 | +$196 +0.7% | 6 |
| 7d | Abc0901 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $3,339 | +$2 +0.1% | 6 |
| 8d | Mastermoney | Plague pandemic in 2026? | SellYes3¢ | $1,616 | −$22 −1.4% | — |
| 9d | hugedic | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes5¢ → 3¢ | $1,897 | −$940 −50% | 29 |
| 9d |  tetrase | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $3,156 | +$64 +2.0% | 7 |
| 9d | Ferwhere2 fills | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes6¢ → 3¢ | $3,225 | −$1,747 −54% | 33 |
| 10d | Mastermoney2 fills | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes6¢ → 3¢ | $2,000 | −$1,112 −56% | 29 |
| 11d | h038596027355 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,914 | +$35 +1.8% | 7 |
tetrase53,732 shares
debased8,888 shares
occasionalAwareness8,253 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 3%.