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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $376 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d |  MrNoItAll | December 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 96¢ | $2,314 | −$8 −0.3% | 6 |
| 5d |  tetrase6 fills | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $26,605 | +$466 +1.8% | 7 |
| 7d | simpleman2 fills | December 31 | SellNo96¢ | $4,443 | −$20 −0.5% | — |
| 8d |  Tenebrus73 fills | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $9,348 | −$190 −2.0% | — |
| 15d |  TheGreekTraderPM | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ | $1,743 | +$17 +1.0% | 7 |
| 21d |  Goopster | December 31 | SellNo96¢ | $1,486 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 23d |  Sylvester.the.Cat | December 31 | SellNo96¢ | $4,810 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 26d | sobaka.yebaka2 fills | December 31 | SellNo96¢ | $3,649 | −$32 −0.9% | — |
| 27d | tetrase2 fills | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $3,667 | −$56 −1.5% | — |
| 28d | keribit7 fills | December 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $33,410 | +$854 +2.6% | 8 |
| 29d | Paul973973 | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $3,000 | +$46 +1.5% | 7 |
| 31d |  GoldmanSachs | December 31 | SellNo93¢ → 96¢ | $5,580 | −$207 −3.7% | — |
| 31d |  eightpenguins2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes7¢ → 4¢ | $3,096 | −$1,413 −46% | 33 |
| 33d |  DonationsReceiver | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $5,877 | −$90 −1.5% | — |
| 33d |  GrokEnjoyer | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,477 | −$23 −1.5% | — |
| 33d | kevtp2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $6,213 | +$156 +2.5% | 8 |
| 34d | patientman | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,425 | +$22 +1.5% | 7 |
| 35d | CP-directional | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ | $2,000 | +$9 +0.5% | 7 |
| 36d | il1 | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $3,804 | −$58 −1.5% | — |
| 39d | 0xf724…85cc | December 31 | BuyYes6¢ → 4¢ | $1,023 | −$381 −37% | 24 |
| 51d | Goopster | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ | $1,920 | +$9 +0.5% | 7 |
| 52d |  MEPP2 fills | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $6,529 | −$100 −1.5% | — |
| 59d |  Car | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $2,850 | +$44 +1.5% | 7 |
| 63d | BlindAndDeaf | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $8,000 | +$122 +1.5% | 7 |
| 68d |  loafy2 fills | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $3,932 | −$102 −2.6% | — |
| 68d | Striped-Pressroom | December 31 | BuyYes6¢ → 4¢ | $2,400 | −$980 −41% | 31 |
| 69d | Sylvester.the.Cat | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $4,750 | +$73 +1.5% | 7 |
| 70d | DonationsReceiver | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $9,499 | +$145 +1.5% | 7 |
| 70d | notworthit | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,504 | −$39 −2.6% | — |
| 72d |  AngryRhino | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,375 | −$36 −2.6% | — |
| 75d | aviato | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,880 | −$49 −2.6% | — |
| 75d |  duderr | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,880 | −$49 −2.6% | — |
| 82d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $2,820 | −$74 −2.6% | — |
| 83d | denizz | December 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $10,722 | +$279 +2.6% | 8 |
| 86d | stupid2218 fills | December 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 96¢ | $105,195 | +$8,199 +7.8% | 11 |
| 89d | sobaka.yebaka | December 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $2,503 | +$93 +3.7% | 9 |
| 94d |  elmcap2 | December 31 | SellNo93¢ → 96¢ | $2,325 | −$86 −3.7% | — |
| 99d | tilt.proof | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $3,760 | −$98 −2.6% | — |
| 99d | rektGPT | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $2,632 | −$69 −2.6% | — |
| 99d | GodPlsSaveMe | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $2,787 | −$73 −2.6% | — |
| 99d | DM7622 | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,946 | −$51 −2.6% | — |
| 99d |  SmakAfriki | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,900 | +$29 +1.5% | 7 |
| 109d |  Bromley86 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 111d | NeH | December 31 | SellNo92¢ → 96¢ | $8,647 | −$415 −4.8% | — |
| 111d | keribit2 fills | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 112d | Ryan1365 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,922 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 112d | Orange-Seep | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,916 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 112d | AngryRhino | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $20,927 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 112d | Bite-Sized-Princess2 fills | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,321 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 112d |  OneBadBet | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,266 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 113d | elmcap23 fills | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $46,977 | +$105 +0.2% | 4 |
| 113d |  taut-dogwood2 fills | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,650 | +$28 +0.3% | 4 |
| 113d | 0x8931…a90c2 fills | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,970 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
| 114d | absol | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,149 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 114d | CasanaView | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $13,149 | −$40 −0.3% | — |
| 115d | QMG-VOL | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 115d | MEPP3 fills | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,179 | −$97 −0.6% | — |
| 115d | Shimmering-Age | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $13,439 | −$40 −0.3% | — |
| 116d | ourdemocracy2 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,991 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 117d | nedsta | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,012 | −$20 −0.4% | — |
debased39,512 sharestetrase52,602 sharesMEPP20,000 shares
risk-manager16,500 sharesIf Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 4%.