| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,000 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $4,725 | +$510 +12% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,000 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $4,225 | +$96 +2.3% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 3,001 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $2,806 | +$84 +3.1% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,500 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $2,441 | +$89 +3.8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,001 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $1,947 | +$105 +5.7% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,000 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1,923 | +$125 +7.0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,701 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $1,645 | +$82 +5.2% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,500 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $1,440 | +$19 +1.4% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,500 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $1,436 | +$44 +3.2% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d | No | 1,500 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $1,432 | +$90 +6.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,500 | 73¢ → 87¢ | $1,303 | +$214 +20% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,500 | 56¢ → 77¢ | $1,151 | +$316 +38% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $987 | +$17 +1.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $985 | +$52 +5.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $980 | +$27 +2.8% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $978 | +$17 +1.8% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $975 | +$61 +6.7% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,001 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $974 | +$28 +2.9% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $969 | +$50 +5.4% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $969 | +$66 +7.3% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $945 | +$11 +1.2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $935 | +$29 +3.2% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 1,000 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $930 | +$53 +6.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 1,001 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $916 | +$19 +2.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 1,001 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $906 | +$28 +3.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,001 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $906 | +$31 +3.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,000 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $905 | +$69 +8.3% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $890 | +$8 +0.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $885 | +$115 +15% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 1,000 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $884 | +$5 +0.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 62¢ → 88¢ | $875 | +$252 +40% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,000 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $771 | +$118 +18% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 1,000 | 27¢ → 65¢ | $645 | +$375 +139% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 600 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $510 | +$11 +2.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 500 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $497 | +$68 +16% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 500 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $496 | +$5 +1.0% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $490 | +$23 +4.9% |
| Plague pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $487 | +$14 +3.1% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $487 | +$24 +5.1% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 500 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $486 | +$7 +1.4% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 501 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $484 | +$13 +2.8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 500 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $483 | +$29 +6.5% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $481 | +$17 +3.7% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 500 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $481 | +$12 +2.5% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 501 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $480 | +$28 +6.2% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 500 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $478 | +$39 +8.8% |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $477 | +$12 +2.7% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $477 | +$15 +3.2% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $475 | +$21 +4.6% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 500 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $473 | +$22 +4.9% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $473 | +$59 +14% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $472 | +$20 +4.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,000 | 43¢ → 47¢ | $471 | +$41 +9.6% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $471 | +$4 +0.9% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $470 | −$9 −1.9% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 500 | 74¢ → 94¢ | $468 | +$98 +26% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 500 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $468 | +$9 +1.9% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 501 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $463 | +$24 +5.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $463 | +$4 +0.8% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $463 | +$17 +3.7% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 79d | Anthropic | 501 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $456 | +$20 +4.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 500 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $453 | +$18 +4.0% |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 256d | No | 500 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $451 | +$18 +4.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 501 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $448 | +$11 +2.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $443 | +$50 +13% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 500 | 64¢ → 88¢ | $437 | +$119 +37% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $437 | +$3 +0.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 500 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $433 | +$24 +5.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $418 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 500 | 95¢ → 83¢ | $417 | −$59 −12% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 500 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $410 | +$19 +4.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 500 | 67¢ → 81¢ | $403 | +$68 +20% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 500 | 0¢ → 76¢ | $378 | +$378 +0.0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 500 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $377 | +$29 +8.3% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 600 | 77¢ → 62¢ | $373 | −$90 −19% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 400 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $370 | +$4 +1.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 500 | 68¢ → 73¢ | $362 | +$22 +6.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 337 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $329 | +$9 +2.9% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 331 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $303 | +$6 +2.2% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 500 | 75¢ → 61¢ | $303 | −$71 −19% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 310 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $300 | +$9 +3.0% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 308 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $300 | +$15 +5.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $291 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $291 | +$27 +10% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $291 | +$13 +4.6% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $290 | +$28 +11% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 300 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $290 | +$5 +1.7% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $288 | +$7 +2.4% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 300 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $288 | +$22 +8.3% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $288 | +$8 +3.0% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $288 | +$14 +5.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 300 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $287 | +$20 +7.3% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 300 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $286 | +$11 +4.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 301 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $286 | +$12 +4.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $285 | +$12 +4.3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $284 | +$10 +3.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $282 | +$8 +2.8% |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $281 | −$2 −0.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$8 +2.7% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $279 | +$31 +12% |
