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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $400M | 7% | — | 0 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | — | in 75d |
| $300M | 7% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 5¢ · 8¢ (3¢) | — | in 75d |
| $200M | 14% | — | −2 pts | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $100M | 26% | +4 pts | +3 pts | 23¢ · 29¢ (6¢) | $824 | in 75d |
| $50M | 25% | — | −3 pts | 24¢ · 26¢ (2¢) | $90.8 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | Fenomenus1 | $200M | SellNo81¢ → 86¢ | $2,307 | −$121 −5.3% | — |
| 12d | hose3 fills | $100M | BuyNo75¢ → 74¢ | $10,000 | −$169 −1.7% | 6 |
| 30d | randomlypunting | $50M | BuyNo75¢ | $1,676 | $0 0.0% | 6 |
| 32d | 83offwrf2 fills | $200M | BuyNo85¢ → 86¢ | $3,310 | +$19 +0.6% | 2 |
| 32d | Rickz88 | $100M | SellNo71¢ → 74¢ | $1,492 | −$68 −4.5% | — |
| 37d | niffgjyf | $200M | BuyNo84¢ → 86¢ | $2,575 | +$46 +1.8% | 2 |
| 43d | anton534 | $100M | SellNo69¢ → 74¢ | $1,538 | −$106 −6.9% | — |
| 43d | anton534 | $50M | SellNo65¢ → 75¢ | $2,180 | −$320 −15% | — |
| 51d | randomlypunting | $200M | BuyNo82¢ → 86¢ | $1,418 | +$61 +4.3% | 2 |
| 60d | niffgjyf | $100M | SellNo74¢ | $1,886 | +$10 +0.5% | — |
| 65d | TommyKFCV50 | $200M | SellNo83¢ → 86¢ | $1,023 | −$31 −3.0% | — |
| 66d | zzaqq22 fills | $100M | BuyNo73¢ → 74¢ | $3,302 | +$43 +1.3% | 6 |
| 67d | holintya | $200M | SellNo81¢ → 86¢ | $1,155 | −$60 −5.2% | — |
| 75d | gydmasg2 fills | $200M | BuyNo79¢ → 86¢ | $4,035 | +$313 +7.7% | 2 |
| 76d | agrarward | $400M | SellNo91¢ → 94¢ | $1,041 | −$26 −2.5% | — |
| 86d | MaxEnt3 fills | $100M | BuyNo62¢ → 74¢ | $4,539 | +$863 +19% | 7 |
| 107d | fbdfbddfb | $200M | SellNo59¢ → 86¢ | $1,493 | −$656 −44% | — |
| 117d | replicatooor | $200M | SellNo61¢ → 86¢ | $1,841 | −$754 −41% | — |
| 121d | Sticky-Overexertion | $50M | SellYes44¢ → 25¢ | $4,321 | +$1,856 +43% | — |
| 121d | Sticky-Overexertion | $50M | BuyYes91¢ → 25¢ | $9,000 | −$6,535 −73% | 3 |
| 160d |  mmarbles3 fills | $200M | SellNo83¢ → 86¢ | $3,437 | −$90 −2.6% | — |
| 166d | Mushy-Gray | $100M | BuyNo51¢ → 74¢ | $1,020 | +$460 +45% | 7 |
| 172d | Suburbmaxxing | $100M | BuyNo51¢ → 74¢ | $1,029 | +$464 +45% | 7 |
| 177d | Stupendous-Sabre2 fills | $100M | SellNo52¢ → 74¢ | $2,596 | −$1,104 −43% | — |
| 177d | Stupendous-Sabre2 fills | $50M | SellNo32¢ → 75¢ | $3,029 | −$4,064 −134% | — |
| 183d | viberefllex2 fills | $50M | BuyNo41¢ → 75¢ | $4,240 | +$3,542 +84% | 10 |
| 183d |  Hyperlong | $100M | BuyNo62¢ → 74¢ | $1,027 | +$189 +18% | 7 |
| 187d | mmarbles2 fills | $100M | SellNo66¢ → 74¢ | $3,232 | −$375 −12% | — |
| 195d | CRIME-IS-LEGAL | $100M | BuyNo68¢ → 74¢ | $4,200 | +$379 +9.0% | 7 |
| 199d |  Armin-1Q | $50M | SellNo32¢ → 75¢ | $2,288 | −$3,075 −134% | — |
| 201d | qicake | $50M | SellYes70¢ → 25¢ | $6,983 | +$4,489 +64% | — |
| 201d | shishry | $50M | SellYes70¢ → 25¢ | $9,437 | +$6,066 +64% | — |
| 201d | xibaly | $50M | SellYes70¢ → 25¢ | $6,119 | +$3,933 +64% | — |
| 201d | mhowang | $50M | SellYes70¢ → 25¢ | $10,319 | +$6,633 +64% | — |
| 203d |  Tamahau | $200M | SellNo80¢ → 86¢ | $1,077 | −$67 −6.2% | — |
| 204d | qicake | $50M | BuyYes72¢ → 25¢ | $7,182 | −$4,688 −65% | 7 |
| 204d | shishry | $50M | BuyYes72¢ → 25¢ | $9,706 | −$6,336 −65% | 7 |
| 204d | mhowang | $50M | BuyYes72¢ → 25¢ | $10,614 | −$6,928 −65% | 7 |
| 204d | purple1 | $50M | BuyNo28¢ → 75¢ | $2,447 | +$4,108 +168% | 11 |
| 216d |  upont | $100M | BuyNo72¢ → 74¢ | $2,472 | +$79 +3.2% | 7 |
| 216d | Rickz88 | $100M | BuyNo73¢ → 74¢ | $1,093 | +$17 +1.5% | 7 |
| 216d |  NeverYES | $100M | BuyNo61¢ → 74¢ | $6,460 | +$1,377 +21% | 7 |
| 218d | stadler | $200M | SellNo79¢ → 86¢ | $1,350 | −$118 −8.8% | — |
| 218d | georgy26 | $200M | SellNo83¢ → 86¢ | $1,309 | −$42 −3.2% | — |
| 225d | fenyaos | $50M | SellYes66¢ → 25¢ | $17,820 | +$11,070 +62% | — |
| 225d | sweters | $50M | SellYes66¢ → 25¢ | $18,150 | +$11,275 +62% | — |
| 225d | linmen | $50M | SellNo33¢ → 75¢ | $8,250 | −$10,500 −127% | — |
| 225d | mufettis | $50M | SellYes65¢ → 25¢ | $1,430 | +$880 +62% | — |
| 226d | sweters | $50M | BuyYes63¢ → 25¢ | $17,325 | −$10,450 −60% | 7 |
| 226d | aziza | $50M | BuyYes63¢ → 25¢ | $15,750 | −$9,500 −60% | 7 |
| 226d | fenyaos | $50M | BuyYes63¢ → 25¢ | $17,010 | −$10,260 −60% | 7 |
| 226d | goodboys1 | $50M | SellYes63¢ → 25¢ | $13,456 | +$8,116 +60% | — |
| 226d | yumili | $50M | SellNo37¢ → 75¢ | $8,998 | −$9,241 −103% | — |
| 227d | goodboys1 | $50M | BuyYes64¢ → 25¢ | $13,670 | −$8,330 −61% | 7 |
| 227d | lvdoubing | $50M | BuyYes64¢ → 25¢ | $15,564 | −$9,484 −61% | 7 |
| 229d | chazi | $50M | SellYes63¢ → 25¢ | $16,512 | +$9,959 +60% | — |
| 229d | molihua | $50M | SellNo37¢ → 75¢ | $9,968 | −$10,238 −103% | — |
| 231d | chazi | $50M | BuyYes61¢ → 25¢ | $15,987 | −$9,435 −59% | 7 |
| 231d | caomeizi | $50M | BuyYes61¢ → 25¢ | $16,434 | −$9,699 −59% | 7 |
| 231d |  geopolitical-expert | $200M | BuyNo87¢ → 86¢ | $1,051 | −$18 −1.7% | 2 |
2B9S211 shares
mewmew11,040 shares
m44173 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 7¢ for $400M means the market gives it about 7%.