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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 82% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 81¢ · 83¢ (2¢) | $372 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Anhedonia100 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo17¢ → 18¢ | $1,358 | −$74 −5.4% | — |
| 19d |  SirHarryOakes3 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes84¢ → 82¢ | $4,333 | −$107 −2.5% | 15 |
| 39d | Silky-Trapezium | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo16¢ → 18¢ | $1,082 | −$156 −14% | — |
| 45d | Silky-Trapezium | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo21¢ → 18¢ | $1,000 | −$160 −16% | 24 |
| 62d | SuperavitFiscal | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes82¢ | $1,870 | $0 0.0% | 16 |
| 74d |  FastPaws | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes78¢ → 82¢ | $1,470 | +$75 +5.1% | 19 |
| 76d |  Outsid3rTrading | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes80¢ → 82¢ | $1,069 | +$27 +2.5% | 17 |
| 126d |  Sylvester.the.Cat | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes74¢ → 82¢ | $1,845 | +$201 +11% | 21 |
| 144d |  Valen9 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes70¢ → 82¢ | $6,966 | −$1,192 −17% | — |
| 146d | denizz6 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes64¢ → 82¢ | $10,248 | +$2,939 +29% | 24 |
| 154d |  Dankwizart420 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes52¢ → 82¢ | $3,967 | −$2,230 −56% | — |
| 161d |  Apple12345 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes72¢ → 82¢ | $1,400 | +$192 +14% | 23 |
| 164d |  RogerFed | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo33¢ → 18¢ | $1,493 | +$672 +45% | — |
| 165d |  Mr-Krabs | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes63¢ → 82¢ | $1,386 | +$418 +30% | 24 |
| 166d | fkmagafkelon | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo36¢ → 18¢ | $2,316 | +$1,160 +50% | — |
| 192d | Valen92 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes41¢ → 82¢ | $6,614 | +$6,770 +102% | 27 |
| 204d |  shingoWAKAYAMA | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo68¢ → 18¢ | $1,023 | −$753 −74% | 24 |
| 211d |  1sk | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo65¢ → 18¢ | $1,460 | −$1,056 −72% | 24 |
| 213d |  mrtrump | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo58¢ → 18¢ | $2,021 | −$1,394 −69% | 24 |
| 229d |  seems1126 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo52¢ → 18¢ | $1,217 | +$793 +65% | — |
| 236d | justme003 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes55¢ → 82¢ | $1,839 | +$903 +49% | 24 |
| 236d | csgb | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo47¢ → 18¢ | $2,315 | +$1,428 +62% | — |
| 249d | randomlypunting | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo38¢ → 18¢ | $1,162 | −$611 −53% | 24 |
| 257d | chong358 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo44¢ → 18¢ | $1,572 | +$924 +59% | — |
| 258d | csgb | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo49¢ → 18¢ | $2,416 | −$1,534 −63% | 24 |
| 261d | chong358 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo51¢ → 18¢ | $2,199 | −$1,419 −65% | 24 |
| 266d | fkmagafkelon | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo60¢ → 18¢ | $1,427 | −$1,002 −70% | 24 |
| 266d | fkmagafkelon | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes49¢ → 82¢ | $1,359 | −$897 −66% | — |
| 267d | fkmagafkelon | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes51¢ → 82¢ | $1,400 | +$856 +61% | 24 |
| 277d | Better-DeadNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo59¢ → 18¢ | $1,551 | +$1,077 +69% | — |
| 280d | Better-DeadNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo55¢ → 18¢ | $1,440 | −$966 −67% | 36 |
| 281d | seems1126 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo51¢ → 18¢ | $2,580 | −$1,669 −65% | 24 |
| 282d |  CoffeeLover | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo49¢ → 18¢ | $1,305 | −$830 −64% | 24 |
| 283d | Livid-IndexNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 82¢ | $2,952 | −$2,952 −100% | — |
| 283d | Red-MessyNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 82¢ | $2,952 | −$2,952 −100% | — |
| 283d | Diligent-MapleNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 82¢ | $2,952 | −$2,952 −100% | — |
| 283d | Unpleasant-SpeakerphoneNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 82¢ | $2,952 | −$2,952 −100% | — |
| 283d | Nippy-SubwayNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 82¢ | $2,952 | −$2,952 −100% | — |
| 283d | Posh-RingwormNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 82¢ | $2,952 | −$2,952 −100% | — |
| 283d | Nimble-PowerNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 82¢ | $2,952 | −$2,952 −100% | — |
| 283d | Writhing-CampaignNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 82¢ | $2,952 | −$2,952 −100% | — |
| 283d | Vapid-RepositoryNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 82¢ | $2,952 | −$2,952 −100% | — |
| 283d | Jaded-MajorNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 82¢ | $2,952 | −$2,952 −100% | — |
| 283d | Nippy-SubwayNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 82¢ | $3,024 | +$2,880 +95% | 35 |
| 283d | Unpleasant-SpeakerphoneNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 82¢ | $3,024 | +$2,880 +95% | 35 |
| 283d | Jaded-MajorNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 82¢ | $3,024 | +$2,880 +95% | 35 |
| 283d | Posh-RingwormNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 82¢ | $3,024 | +$2,880 +95% | 35 |
| 283d | Diligent-MapleNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 82¢ | $3,024 | +$2,880 +95% | 35 |
| 283d | Red-MessyNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 82¢ | $3,024 | +$2,880 +95% | 35 |
| 283d | Writhing-CampaignNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 82¢ | $3,024 | +$2,880 +95% | 35 |
| 283d | Vapid-RepositoryNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 82¢ | $3,024 | +$2,880 +95% | 35 |
| 283d | Livid-IndexNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 82¢ | $3,024 | +$2,880 +95% | 35 |
| 283d | Nimble-PowerNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 82¢ | $3,024 | +$2,880 +95% | 35 |
| 283d | tl9649520 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 18¢ | $4,392 | −$3,096 −70% | 24 |
| 283d | doh108641 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 18¢ | $4,392 | −$3,096 −70% | 24 |
| 283d | qha274850 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 18¢ | $4,392 | −$3,096 −70% | 24 |
| 283d | hongtruc5826g | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 18¢ | $4,392 | −$3,096 −70% | 24 |
| 283d | holinh7263o | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 18¢ | $4,392 | −$3,096 −70% | 24 |
| 283d | mactuyet56 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 18¢ | $4,392 | −$3,096 −70% | 24 |
| 283d | lakhanh8258f | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 18¢ | $4,392 | −$3,096 −70% | 24 |
SirHarryOakes10,312 sharesValen97,846 shares
SwissMiss6,492 sharesFastPaws3,717 shares
Bulan9,998 shares
Roflan-ludoman9,546 shares
Chungvicular7,614 shares
classified4,734 sharesThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 82¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 82%.