| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 29,178 | 70¢ → 82¢ | $23,926 | +$3,509 +17% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Ends in 134d | No | 20,978 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $19,509 | +$2,977 +18% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 17,494 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $16,943 | +$1,703 +11% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10,992 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $10,388 | +$2,068 +25% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 10,561 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $10,323 | +$128 +1.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 4d | Yes | 8,309 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $7,935 | +$107 +1.4% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 7,977 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $7,821 | +$86 +1.1% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 8,200 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $7,257 | −$73 −1.0% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 7,938 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $7,025 | +$261 +3.9% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 7,304 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $6,902 | +$673 +11% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 7,337 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $6,823 | +$543 +8.6% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7,068 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $6,807 | +$1,187 +21% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberEnds in 13d | Nothing | 5,780 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5,520 | +$45 +0.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,814 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $5,437 | +$421 +8.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 5,533 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $4,808 | +$200 +4.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 4,382 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $4,288 | +$224 +5.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 4,625 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $4,278 | +$8 +0.2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4,430 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $4,186 | +$496 +13% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 4,518 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $4,179 | +$403 +11% |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Ends in 240d | Yes | 4,562 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $3,763 | −$175 −4.4% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 4,088 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $3,761 | −$76 −2.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4,044 | 73¢ → 93¢ | $3,741 | +$791 +27% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 3,000 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $2,978 | +$47 +1.6% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,787 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $2,766 | +$62 +2.3% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 3d | Yes | 2,000 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $1,934 | $0 0.0% |
| Modi out by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 2,050 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $1,835 | −$9 −0.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 2,058 | 94¢ → 79¢ | $1,626 | −$319 −16% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 1,663 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1,599 | +$67 +4.4% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,475 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $1,417 | +$178 +14% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 1,500 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $1,403 | −$8 −0.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,500 | 66¢ → 90¢ | $1,350 | +$353 +35% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,281 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $1,239 | +$56 +4.7% |
| Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,279 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $1,200 | +$23 +2.0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,181 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $1,116 | +$89 +8.6% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,141 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $1,093 | +$53 +5.1% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,166 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $1,056 | −$3 −0.3% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,094 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $990 | +$132 +15% |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,061 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $944 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 878 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $795 | +$3 +0.4% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 818 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $781 | +$4 +0.5% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 1,013 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $765 | −$15 −1.9% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1171d | Yes | 1,312 | 55¢ → 51¢ | $663 | −$56 −7.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 707 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $661 | +$52 +8.6% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 694 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $600 | +$10 +1.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 681 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $583 | +$24 +4.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 500 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $497 | +$8 +1.6% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $473 | +$28 +6.2% |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | Yes | 485 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $440 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 83¢ → 75¢ | $375 | −$40 −9.6% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 381 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $370 | +$64 +21% |
| US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 344 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $334 | +$32 +10% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 322 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $312 | +$29 +10% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 312 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $303 | +$16 +5.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 380 | 87¢ → 77¢ | $292 | −$39 −12% |
| D4vd released from custody in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 220 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $205 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 226 | 72¢ → 85¢ | $191 | +$28 +17% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$7 +3.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $147 | +$16 +13% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 109 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $104 | +$9 +9.8% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$10 +12% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $91 | +$1 +0.6% |
| New pandemic before 2028?Ends in 440d | No | 60 | 81¢ → 90¢ | $54 | +$5 +10% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 55 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $53 | +$2 +3.9% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$5 +11% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 46 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $43 | +$1 +2.2% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $22 | +$4 +22% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.1% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3 | 20¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$0 −63% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,701 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$453 −100% |
| Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,650 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,294 −100% |
