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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| June 30, 2027 | 65% | +7 pts | +26 pts | 47¢ · 83¢ (36¢) | $515 | in 257d |
| December 31, 2027 | 63% | −6 pts | +4 pts | 59¢ · 67¢ (8¢) | $410 | in 441d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $38,167 | +$1,085 +2.8% | 4 | |
| 111d | korETHja | December 31, 2026 | SellNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,068 | −$38 −3.6% | — |
| 138d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $2,513 | −$146 −5.8% | — | |
| 153d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $1,988 | +$162 +8.2% | 4 | |
| 156d | baloo2019 | December 31, 2026 | SellNo89¢ → 97¢ | $10,443 | −$931 −8.9% | — |
| 164d | littlebird | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo88¢ → 97¢ | $1,454 | +$155 +11% | 4 |
| 165d | tony90125 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo88¢ → 97¢ | $4,485 | +$476 +11% | 4 |
| 166d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo88¢ → 97¢ | $6,334 | −$673 −11% | — | |
| 167d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo89¢ → 97¢ | $3,315 | −$311 −9.4% | — | |
| 169d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo89¢ → 97¢ | $5,569 | −$539 −9.7% | — | |
| 169d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo89¢ → 97¢ | $11,979 | +$1,124 +9.4% | 4 | |
| 173d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $6,313 | +$816 +13% | 4 | |
| 174d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo84¢ → 97¢ | $2,268 | −$360 −16% | — | |
| 174d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo86¢ → 97¢ | $9,231 | −$1,214 −13% | — | |
| 207d | Well-Documented-Jeep4 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo89¢ → 97¢ | $5,845 | +$575 +9.8% | 4 |
| 214d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo88¢ → 97¢ | $2,056 | +$218 +11% | 4 | |
| 216d | TheReturnOfDarthMaul3 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo88¢ → 97¢ | $20,064 | +$2,052 +10% | 4 |
| 217d | Minty-Vane | December 31, 2026 | SellYes13¢ → 3¢ | $1,244 | +$992 +80% | — |
| 217d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo86¢ → 97¢ | $1,605 | −$212 −13% | — | |
| 229d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo87¢ → 97¢ | $3,234 | +$368 +11% | 4 | |
| 233d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo87¢ → 97¢ | $1,204 | +$143 +12% | 4 | |
| 235d | MrMarket | December 31, 2026 | SellNo87¢ → 97¢ | $1,100 | −$131 −12% | — |
| 237d | zZQ8xU4Btx | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $1,461 | +$193 +13% | 4 |
| 240d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo84¢ → 97¢ | $1,738 | −$276 −16% | — | |
| 240d | Minty-Vane2 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes14¢ → 3¢ | $2,523 | −$2,041 −81% | 10 |
| 242d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo86¢ → 97¢ | $9,743 | −$1,252 −13% | — | |
| 257d | ksquare | December 31, 2026 | SellNo84¢ → 97¢ | $1,395 | −$218 −16% | — |
| 261d | litter857 | December 31, 2026 | SellNo83¢ → 97¢ | $1,310 | −$226 −17% | — |
| 273d | baloo2019 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo88¢ → 97¢ | $8,800 | +$935 +11% | 4 |
| 276d | Cudnbdls | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo88¢ → 97¢ | $3,323 | +$334 +10% | 4 |
| 278d | MrMarket | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo89¢ → 97¢ | $2,670 | +$251 +9.4% | 4 |
| 278d | tryingout12 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo89¢ → 97¢ | $2,798 | +$256 +9.1% | 4 |
| 283d | nangongyingque | December 31, 2026 | SellNo87¢ → 97¢ | $1,254 | −$149 −12% | — |
| 283d | simpleman | December 31, 2026 | SellNo88¢ → 97¢ | $10,245 | −$1,053 −10% | — |
| 284d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo89¢ → 97¢ | $4,294 | −$383 −8.9% | — | |
| 286d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $3,352 | +$275 +8.2% | 4 | |
| 288d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $6,595 | +$414 +6.3% | 4 | |
| 288d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo88¢ → 97¢ | $1,001 | +$105 +10% | 4 | |
| 288d | Anon5566 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo87¢ → 97¢ | $1,323 | +$157 +12% | 4 |
| 303d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo87¢ → 97¢ | $2,000 | +$231 +12% | 4 | |
| 303d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo85¢ → 97¢ | $1,867 | −$282 −15% | — | |
| 306d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo85¢ → 97¢ | $1,256 | −$182 −15% | — | |
| 309d | eounegui | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo87¢ → 97¢ | $1,118 | +$133 +12% | 4 |
| 310d | nangongyingque | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $1,239 | +$164 +13% | 4 |
| 316d | Abandoned-Cabbage | December 31, 2026 | SellNo83¢ → 97¢ | $1,162 | −$201 −17% | — |
| 336d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo78¢ → 97¢ | $3,133 | +$778 +25% | 4 | |
| 336d | simpleman2 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $5,080 | +$671 +13% | 4 |
| 338d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo91¢ → 97¢ | $4,026 | −$275 −6.8% | — | |
| 352d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $6,046 | +$438 +7.2% | 4 | |
| 363d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo90¢ → 97¢ | $1,023 | −$83 −8.1% | — |
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 3%.