| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 72,523 | 84¢ → 78¢ | $56,205 | −$5,015 −8.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 43,895 | 63¢ → 87¢ | $37,969 | +$10,444 +38% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 28,666 | 52¢ → 69¢ | $19,779 | +$4,940 +33% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 23,215 | 63¢ → 69¢ | $15,902 | +$1,252 +8.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 15,007 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $11,330 | +$148 +1.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 9,948 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $6,217 | −$246 −3.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,276 | 70¢ → 88¢ | $4,617 | +$936 +25% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,969 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $3,433 | +$262 +8.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 3,992 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $3,134 | −$140 −4.3% |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,691 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $2,492 | +$304 +14% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,679 | 89¢ → 84¢ | $1,402 | −$98 −6.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,347 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $1,262 | +$68 +5.7% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,124 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $1,017 | +$7 +0.7% |
| Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,021 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $966 | +$50 +5.4% |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 10d | No | 1,393 | 50¢ → 64¢ | $892 | +$192 +27% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | Yes | 1,604 | 51¢ → 56¢ | $890 | +$74 +9.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 872 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $838 | +$42 +5.3% |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 758 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $727 | +$52 +7.8% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 977 | 84¢ → 73¢ | $713 | −$104 −13% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 596 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $573 | +$30 +5.6% |
| Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 444 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $420 | +$20 +5.0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 86¢ → 73¢ | $366 | −$64 −15% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 335 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $317 | +$22 +7.4% |
| Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 249 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $219 | +$5 +2.3% |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $184 | +$28 +18% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 31¢ → 90¢ | $179 | +$117 +190% |
| Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $175 | +$5 +2.9% |
| Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 166 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $155 | +$9 +6.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 4,963 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $139 | +$4 +2.9% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 53d | No | 217 | 50¢ → 57¢ | $125 | +$16 +15% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 244 | 47¢ → 34¢ | $84 | −$31 −27% |
| Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?Ends in 102d | Yes | 137 | 35¢ → 56¢ | $76 | +$28 +60% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 381 | 26¢ → 19¢ | $70 | −$28 −28% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 1,567 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $52 | −$48 −48% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 472 | 7¢ → 10¢ | $48 | +$13 +37% |
| GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 49 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $45 | +$5 +11% |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $37 | +$3 +7.9% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaEnds in 75d | Nothing | 27 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $25 | +$2 +10% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 334 | 23¢ → 7¢ | $22 | −$55 −72% |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 433 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $19 | −$11 −35% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 52d | Yes | 40 | 43¢ → 47¢ | $19 | +$1 +8.1% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 55¢ → 66¢ | $13 | +$2 +19% |
| Will Trump nationalize elections?Ends in 75d | Yes | 101 | 25¢ → 9¢ | $9 | −$16 −64% |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 87 | 29¢ → 10¢ | $9 | −$16 −65% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 27¢ → 4¢ | $8 | −$46 −85% |
| Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | Yes | 208 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $6 | +$1 +21% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$1 +19% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 132 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$10 −70% |
| Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$0 −16% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 235 | 17¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$39 −99% |
| Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +17% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,800 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,645 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$247 −100% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 491 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,303 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$350 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,300 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,400 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.2% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 425 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,600 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 194 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 284 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 319 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 390 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,039 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 99 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 556 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 138 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 374 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 409 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,277 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$653 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 3.2% in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 519 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$222 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce Eric Schmitt as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 578 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,625 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 246 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
