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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 14d |
| December 31 | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $20 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | pieped | December 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 95¢ | $1,492 | +$92 +6.2% | 27 |
| 3d | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 95¢ | $1,589 | +$157 +9.9% | 29 | |
| 3d | KiernanMeister | December 31 | BuyNo78¢ → 95¢ | $1,352 | +$276 +20% | 34 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Kimberly Guilfoyle between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 2%.