| Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 1,052 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $1,024 | +$4 +0.4% |
| Will White House post 60-79 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 712 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $710 | −$1 −0.2% |
| Will White House post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 592 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $590 | −$1 −0.2% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Ends in 5d | Yes | 386 | 49¢ → 86¢ | $332 | +$143 +76% |
| Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 307 | 88¢ → >99¢ | $306 | +$36 +14% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 300 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $295 | +$13 +4.7% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM?Ends in 29d | Yes | 291 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $288 | +$19 +7.0% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $275 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 232 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $231 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 190 | 66¢ → 89¢ | $169 | +$43 +34% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before the midterms?Ends in 16d | Yes | 230 | 75¢ → 71¢ | $162 | −$11 −6.2% |
| Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 175 | 77¢ → 88¢ | $154 | +$20 +15% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?Ends in 17d | No | 208 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $153 | −$5 −3.2% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 150 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $147 | +$16 +13% |
| Will Olivier Giroud retire before 1 July 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 200 | 50¢ → 71¢ | $142 | +$42 +42% |
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 146 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $141 | +$10 +7.8% |
| Will General Motors say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?Ends in 3d | No | 120 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $119 | +$5 +4.6% |
| Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 110 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $101 | +$15 +18% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | Yes | 170 | 29¢ → 50¢ | $84 | +$35 +71% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 120 | 62¢ → 68¢ | $82 | +$7 +9.7% |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 100 | 75¢ → 81¢ | $81 | +$6 +7.3% |
| Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 100 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $78 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 100 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $75 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 203 | 34¢ → 37¢ | $74 | +$5 +7.4% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 51¢ → 73¢ | $73 | +$22 +42% |
| Will John Leguizamo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 100 | 73¢ → 69¢ | $69 | −$5 −6.7% |
| Will "Once Upon a Time in Harlem" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 100 | 64¢ → 69¢ | $69 | +$5 +7.7% |
| Will Trump say "Truck" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | Yes | 100 | 57¢ → 68¢ | $68 | +$11 +18% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 100 | 59¢ → 63¢ | $63 | +$4 +5.9% |
| Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 70 | 75¢ → 89¢ | $62 | +$10 +19% |
| Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | Yes | 140 | 41¢ → 44¢ | $61 | +$4 +6.1% |
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | Yes | 100 | 50¢ → 61¢ | $61 | +$11 +21% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 60 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $59 | +$7 +14% |
| Will Sandra Hüller be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 100 | 54¢ → 59¢ | $59 | +$5 +9.3% |
| Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?Ends ended | No | 58 | 50¢ → 97¢ | $56 | +$27 +95% |
| Will White House post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 54 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $54 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?Ends in 10d | No | 50 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" or "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | No | 100 | 32¢ → 50¢ | $50 | +$18 +55% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $49 | −$7 −12% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | No | 57 | 35¢ → 82¢ | $47 | +$27 +135% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Ends in 5d | Yes | 386 | 17¢ → 12¢ | $45 | −$22 −33% |
| Will Trump say "Visa" in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 100 | 47¢ → 44¢ | $44 | −$3 −7.2% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?Ends in 4d | Yes | 50 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$5 +14% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 51 | 52¢ → 83¢ | $42 | +$16 +59% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 290 | 9¢ → 14¢ | $41 | +$15 +56% |
| Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 70 | 54¢ → 57¢ | $40 | +$2 +6.5% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 182 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $39 | +$5 +13% |
| Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Cowboys vs Packers game?Ends in 1d | Yes | 50 | 80¢ → 76¢ | $38 | −$2 −5.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 63 | 35¢ → 60¢ | $38 | +$15 +69% |
| Will "Mask Off" by Future be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 47d | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 37¢ | $37 | +$22 +147% |
| Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 47d | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 37¢ | $37 | +$24 +181% |
| Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 100 | 46¢ → 36¢ | $36 | −$11 −23% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ?Ends in 4d | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 70¢ | $35 | +$10 +40% |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 202 | 14¢ → 17¢ | $34 | +$5 +17% |
| Will Ali Khamenei rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 90 | 35¢ → 37¢ | $33 | +$2 +5.5% |
| Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 50¢ → 64¢ | $32 | +$7 +28% |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | No | 40 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $32 | +$12 +58% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 185 | 24¢ → 17¢ | $31 | −$13 −29% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?Ends in 4d | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 61¢ | $30 | +$5 +21% |
| Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 47d | Yes | 94 | 11¢ → 32¢ | $30 | +$19 +180% |
| Will "Prize" be in the headlines this week?Ends in 1d | Yes | 80 | 51¢ → 36¢ | $28 | −$12 −30% |
| Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 100 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $28 | −$2 −6.0% |
| Will Trump say "Airbus" in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 60 | 39¢ → 46¢ | $27 | +$4 +17% |
| Will Trump say "Dad" or "Daddy" this week?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 44¢ → 51¢ | $26 | +$4 +16% |
| Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 39d | Yes | 30 | 41¢ → 85¢ | $25 | +$13 +106% |
| Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the 49ers vs Seahawks game?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 61¢ → 50¢ | $25 | −$6 −18% |
| Will Trump say "Massie" or "Rand" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | No | 200 | 16¢ → 13¢ | $25 | −$8 −24% |
| Will Trump say "Bull" or "Bullshit" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 33¢ → 50¢ | $25 | +$8 +50% |
| Will Trump say "Khomeini" or "Khamenei" this week?Ends in 1d | Yes | 50 | 26¢ → 46¢ | $23 | +$10 +77% |
| Will "God's Plan" by Drake be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 47d | Yes | 100 | 12¢ → 22¢ | $22 | +$10 +79% |
| Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?Ends in 10d | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 43¢ | $21 | +$11 +113% |
| Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?Ends in 10d | No | 57 | 31¢ → 37¢ | $21 | +$3 +20% |
| Will General Motors say "President" or "Trump" during earnings call?Ends in 3d | Yes | 22 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $20 | +$2 +13% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 4, 11:59 PM?Ends in 18d | No | 133 | 18¢ → 15¢ | $20 | −$5 −18% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$3 +16% |
| Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 37 | 56¢ → 53¢ | $20 | −$1 −6.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 20¢ → 10¢ | $19 | −$21 −53% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $19 | −$26 −58% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 53¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$8 +78% |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 62 | 34¢ → 28¢ | $17 | −$4 −19% |
| Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 41 | 19¢ → 42¢ | $17 | +$9 +118% |
| Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 20 | 67¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$3 +25% |
| Will "Look at Me!" by XXXTENTACION be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 47d | Yes | 72 | 12¢ → 23¢ | $17 | +$8 +87% |
| Will Trump say "Nobel" this week?Ends in 1d | Yes | 60 | 78¢ → 26¢ | $15 | −$32 −68% |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 143 | 35¢ → 11¢ | $15 | −$35 −70% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 37¢ → 8¢ | $15 | −$58 −80% |
| Will Trump say "Mardi Gras" this week?Ends in 1d | Yes | 100 | 53¢ → 15¢ | $15 | −$38 −72% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1?Ends in 5d | No | 15 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $14 | +$1 +9.2% |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 20 | 62¢ → 65¢ | $13 | +$1 +4.0% |
| Will Manuel Neuer retire before 1 July 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 63¢ | $13 | +$3 +25% |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 61¢ | $12 | +$7 +124% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $12 | −$1 −8.0% |
| Will "God is Shy" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 40 | 25¢ → 30¢ | $12 | +$2 +20% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 16¢ → 6¢ | $12 | −$20 −63% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 32 | 48¢ → 37¢ | $12 | −$3 −22% |
| Will General Motors say "Battery" during earnings call?Ends in 3d | Yes | 12 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $11 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo retire before 1 July 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 38 | 52¢ → 29¢ | $11 | −$9 −44% |
| Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 39d | Yes | 40 | 33¢ → 27¢ | $11 | −$3 −20% |
| Will Trump post "Nidal Hasan" on Truth Social this week?Ends in 1d | Yes | 40 | 50¢ → 26¢ | $10 | −$10 −49% |
| Will XXXTentacion be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 39d | Yes | 60 | 11¢ → 17¢ | $10 | +$4 +55% |
