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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $292K | ended |
| Laken Riley Act | 0% | −77 pts | — | — · 1¢ | $5.37K | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $3.96K | ended |
| Pee-wee / Peewee | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $2.73K | ended |
| Ceasefire | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $2.68K | ended |
| Tariff 6+ times | 0% | −68 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $2.35K | ended |
| Russia / Ukraine | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $2.01K | ended |
| Ass | 100% | +47 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $1.97K | ended |
| Tax 25+ times | 100% | +25 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $1.76K | ended |
| Transgender 5+ times | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $1.76K | ended |
| SI / Super Intelligence | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $1.24K | ended |
| Hell 14+ times | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $1.08K | ended |
| Hormuz / Blockade | 100% | +40 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $1.08K | ended |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $995 | ended |
| Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $665 | ended |
| Clay | 100% | +9 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $663 | ended |
| University | 100% | +55 pts | — | 69¢ · 100¢ (31¢) | $635 | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $630 | ended |
| America First | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $619 | ended |
| Trump Account / TrumpRX | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $409 | ended |
| Peach / Pecan | 0% | +6 pts | — | — · 40¢ | $366 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13h |  tbyck2 fills | Star | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,483 | +$17 +0.4% | 20 |
| 13h | polybettor | Star | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,496 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 13h |  AgricultureSecretary3 fills | Star | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,123 | +$206 +1.3% | 20 |
| 13h | 0xd485Cb3aFE838F3DdfdAC69fc14d3b7109E6E573 fills | Star | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,771 | +$204 +2.1% | 20 |
| 14h |  BlondBeast | Star | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | +$64 +4.2% | 20 |
| 14h | HornyBibi | Star | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | +$1,199 +75% | 20 |
| 14h |  0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | Star | SellNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,220 | +$1,220 +100% | — |
| 14h | 0x6fa7…907e | Star | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $3,641 | +$5,462 +150% | 23 |
| 14h |  aenews22 fills | Star | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $8,264 | −$8,264 −100% | 22 |
| 14h |  drakelong2 fills | Star | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $12,103 | −$12,103 −100% | 23 |
| 14h |  imnice4 fills | Star | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $17,040 | −$17,040 −100% | 23 |
| 14h | 0x955c…990f6 fills | Star | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $29,721 | −$29,721 −100% | 27 |
| 14h | junkbonds3 fills | Star | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $5,105 | −$5,105 −100% | 24 |
| 15h |  KingZeManel | Ceasefire | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,078 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
imnice31,700 sharesdrakelong15,702 shares
0x8fbd7cf5f806f563080864694415829f7229a9514,309 shares
Bertapotamous4,318 shares
MerhabaKardesim3,840 shares
eightpenguins3,708 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Dalton, Georgia on October 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-dalton-georgia-president-donald-j-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Georgia on October 16, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Star means the market gives it about 100%.