| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 28,400 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $23,998 | +$2,776 +13% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 24,142 | 37¢ → 54¢ | $12,916 | +$3,928 +44% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 15,896 | 58¢ → 77¢ | $12,160 | +$2,923 +32% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 15,555 | 65¢ → 73¢ | $11,277 | +$1,189 +12% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 12,702 | 37¢ → 54¢ | $6,802 | +$2,059 +43% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 18,348 | 33¢ → 37¢ | $6,697 | +$642 +11% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 6,925 | 74¢ → 97¢ | $6,683 | +$1,568 +31% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 8,888 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $5,555 | +$222 +4.2% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 4,492 | 60¢ → 76¢ | $3,394 | +$700 +26% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 51,195 | 23¢ → 6¢ | $3,072 | −$8,907 −74% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 2,802 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $2,424 | +$162 +7.2% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 2,924 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $2,208 | +$122 +5.8% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 2,741 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $2,070 | +$114 +5.8% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 18,887 | 19¢ → 6¢ | $1,039 | −$2,472 −70% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,233 | 55¢ → 25¢ | $792 | −$980 −55% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,453 | 30¢ → 13¢ | $557 | −$799 −59% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,567 | 40¢ → 12¢ | $525 | −$1,321 −72% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 11,519 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $294 | −$1,294 −82% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,119 | 34¢ → 9¢ | $281 | −$776 −73% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 256d | Yes | 3,438 | 6¢ → 8¢ | $275 | +$69 +33% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,111 | 58¢ → 14¢ | $161 | −$483 −75% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 444 | 62¢ → 33¢ | $144 | −$131 −48% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 106d | No | 143 | 55¢ → 73¢ | $103 | +$25 +32% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,133 | 13¢ → 6¢ | $72 | −$75 −51% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 741 | 56¢ → 7¢ | $52 | −$363 −88% |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Ends in 9d | Hike 25 bps | 621 | 71¢ → 8¢ | $50 | −$391 −89% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 405 | 20¢ → 10¢ | $41 | −$39 −48% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,432 | 17¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$409 −97% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 174 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 131 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,070 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,050 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$588 −100% |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$575 −100% |
| Will Google say "DeepMind" or "Deep Mind" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 58 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17,790 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,170 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during call with Service Members on November 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 777 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$303 −100% |
| Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,916 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,352 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,321 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,046 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during Miami address?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 817 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$382 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22,221 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,516 −100% |
| Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,905 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$649 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,229 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,079 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,021 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,385 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,567 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,005 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,666 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,244 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,038 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$156 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 266 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 331 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$118 −100% |
| Will “Nobody Wants This: Season 2” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9,427 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,599 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,424 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,705 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,799 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,417 −100% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,111 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$311 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Farmer" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 136 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| Will MrBeast say "Youtube" or "Youtuber" 10+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,999 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,757 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,561 −100% |
| Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,728 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,079 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,222 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,817 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$945 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 136 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 748 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,140 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$128 −100% |
| Will Google say "Search Advertising" or "Search Ad" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 55 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 210 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$138 −100% |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,352 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,626 −100% |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13,572 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,643 −100% |
| Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,821 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$642 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,715 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$854 −100% |
| Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,000 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$180 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 927 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,596 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$193 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35,452 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,489 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18,712 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,237 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14,682 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,127 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 632 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$280 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 265 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$538 −100% |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 555 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11,565 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,247 −100% |
| Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 888 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Affordability" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 705 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,876 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$688 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,424 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,366 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,078 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$277 −100% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 501 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,962 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$645 −100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,071 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,911 −100% |
| Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$800 −100% |
| Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,871 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$180 −100% |
| Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 58 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 612 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34,029 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12,503 −100% |
| Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 555 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$222 −100% |
| Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 670 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$277 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,184 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,061 −100% |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,152 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$288 −100% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 631 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
