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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 28 | 0% | +1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 6 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190d | clicketyclick | April 30 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$209 +19% | 20 |
| 230d | February 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,657 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 233d | February 28 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,889 | −$45 −2.4% | — | |
| 238d | February 28 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $4,420 | +$1,160 +26% | 20 | |
| 241d | CHISCARU | February 28 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | −$31 −2.9% | — |
| 243d | February 28 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $14,556 | +$4,177 +29% | 20 | |
| 247d | February 28 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$511 +34% | 20 | |
| 251d | February 28 | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $5,437 | +$4,272 +79% | 20 | |
| 252d | Odysseus7 | February 6 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,284 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 252d | February 6 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,511 | +$19 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 252d | February 6 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | +$16 +1.3% | 20 | |
| 253d | Oxford-Alpha-Fund | February 6 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | +$77 +5.5% | 20 |
| 256d | February 6 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$106 +10% | 20 | |
| 256d | February 28 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | +$624 +45% | 20 | |
| 256d | dotheoppositeofme | February 28 | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 20 |
| 257d | February 28 | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,238 | −$1,238 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered. A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for February 28 means the market gives it about 0%.