| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 3,999 | 47¢ → 48¢ | $1,900 | +$27 +1.4% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,000 | 32¢ → 92¢ | $1,830 | +$1,190 +186% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 2,000 | 70¢ → 86¢ | $1,710 | +$310 +22% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | No | 4,000 | 18¢ → 39¢ | $1,540 | +$808 +110% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 2,000 | 40¢ → 77¢ | $1,535 | +$735 +92% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,000 | 85¢ → 71¢ | $1,429 | −$265 −16% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | No | 2,000 | 56¢ → 68¢ | $1,350 | +$230 +21% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 4,000 | 18¢ → 24¢ | $940 | +$200 +27% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 1,000 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $935 | +$115 +14% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 2,000 | 14¢ → 45¢ | $890 | +$610 +218% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 1,000 | 74¢ → 73¢ | $725 | −$15 −2.0% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 287d | No | 1,000 | 59¢ → 72¢ | $715 | +$125 +21% |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 2,824 | 22¢ → 21¢ | $593 | −$28 −4.5% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 1,000 | 31¢ → 57¢ | $575 | +$265 +85% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 2,000 | 46¢ → 28¢ | $570 | −$360 −39% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 1,000 | 41¢ → 44¢ | $435 | +$25 +6.1% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,000 | 52¢ → 14¢ | $435 | −$1,125 −72% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,000 | 11¢ → 35¢ | $345 | +$235 +214% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 300 | 55¢ → 83¢ | $248 | +$81 +49% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,000 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $170 | −$290 −63% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 4,000 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $164 | −$236 −59% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,000 | 18¢ → 6¢ | $111 | −$243 −69% |
| Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 2,000 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $97 | −$123 −56% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,000 | 58¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$578 −100% |
| Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,000 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$700 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,996 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$479 −100% |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$866 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,588 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 792 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$539 −100% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$220 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$124 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,000 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$850 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$220 −100% |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | TEAM VISION | 1,217 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$722 −100% |
| Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 396 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$191 −100% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$216 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$124 −100% |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18,070 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,178 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$220 −100% |
| Epstein client list released by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22,000 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,335 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,000 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,739 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,600 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,188 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$370 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$420 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$322 −100% |
| Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,600 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$344 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$210 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$299 −100% |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14,033 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,123 −100% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8,000 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,855 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39,997 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$164 −100% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,525 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$540 −100% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$508 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$260 −100% |
| Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,047 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$409 −100% |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$128 −100% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$113 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 486 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$252 −100% |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$570 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,061 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$412 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,000 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,238 −100% |
| Will Google say "Token" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$209 −100% |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 211 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,000 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$480 −100% |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,000 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,772 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$382 −100% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$399 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 800 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$215 −100% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 455 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 800 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$420 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$310 −100% |
| Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$192 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,000 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,688 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$171 −100% |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$155 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$367 −100% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 398 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$233 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$170 −100% |
| Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$819 −100% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9,000 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,036 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,000 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$954 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$370 −100% |
