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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >500k | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >700k | 100% | +12 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >1m | 0% | −21 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >600k | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >800k | 100% | +37 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >1.4m | 0% | −3 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >1.3m | 0% | −4 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >900k | 100% | +75 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >1.1m | 0% | −14 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >1.2m | 0% | −8 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243d |  LiquidLlama | >500k | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | BTCFudder | >1m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,778 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | molt3molt | >1m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,016 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | 0xkeggle | >900k | SellYes>99¢ | $2,762 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | Yonet | >1m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,502 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | Basheeee | >1m | SellNo>99¢ | $8,741 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | claudecoder34 | >1m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,444 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | 1904 | >1.1m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,323 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 243d |  jesterthegoose2 fills | >1.2m | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,649 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 243d | poorsob | >1.4m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 243d | jesterthegoose2 fills | >1.4m | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,456 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 243d | jesterthegoose | >1.3m | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,235 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 243d | poorsob | >900k | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,265 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 243d | poorsob | >600k | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,101 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 243d |  The-Joker | >1.2m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,089 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 243d | poorsob | >800k | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,765 | +$28 +0.1% | 4 |
| 243d | Trustinghorse | >600k | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,291 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 243d |  DOJ | >900k | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,150 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 243d | Trustinghorse | >500k | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,993 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 243d | WhenYouFindMe | >500k | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,195 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 243d | Trustinghorse | >700k | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,403 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 243d |  HanSooyoung | >1.2m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,078 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 243d | HanSooyoung | >1m | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 243d | DOJ | >600k | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 243d |  ProfessionalPunter | >1.3m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,154 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 243d | C03B2 fills | >1.4m | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,395 | +$40 +0.4% | 4 |
| 243d | jesterthegoose | >1.1m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 243d | C03B | >1.1m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,793 | +$79 +1.0% | 4 |
| 243d | C03B | >1m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,661 | +$78 +1.0% | 4 |
| 243d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | >1.1m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 243d |  wish- | >1.1m | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,597 | +$260 +16% | 4 |
| 243d |  0xdc3E831cad | >1m | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $26,339 | +$6,585 +25% | 4 |
| 243d | jydn | >1m | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$700 +25% | 4 |
| 243d |  ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | >1.1m | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$210 +16% | 4 |
| 243d | Basheeee | >1m | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$1,750 +25% | 4 |
| 243d |  RememberAmalek2 fills | >1m | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $4,024 | +$1,128 +28% | 4 |
| 243d |  RecursiveDragon | >1m | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,200 | +$800 +25% | 4 |
| 243d | wish- | >1.4m | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $6,616 | +$1,167 +18% | 4 |
| 243d | hypebot | >1.1m | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$465 +45% | 4 |
| 243d | Kaleidoscopic-Transaction | >1m | SellYes66¢ → 0¢ | $1,344 | +$1,344 +100% | — |
| 243d | fgrnkj | >700k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,856 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 243d | Instructive-FrictionNew account | >900k | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | −$27 −1.9% | — |
| 243d |  BlueLabelVintage | >900k | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,574 | −$26 −1.7% | — |
| 243d | hypebot | >1m | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,101 | −$1,101 −100% | 4 |
| 243d | Djibooty | >1m | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 4 |
| 243d |  Trashbag | >1m | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 243d | Instructive-FrictionNew account | >900k | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$96 +7.1% | 7 |
| 243d | Outlawgamba | >1m | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $7,517 | −$7,517 −100% | 4 |
| 243d |  iForgor2 fills | >1m | SellNo57¢ → 100¢ | $2,853 | −$2,177 −76% | — |
| 243d | iForgor | >1m | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | +$944 +53% | 4 |
| 243d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b043 fills | >600k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,940 | +$49 +1.0% | 4 |
| 243d | Instructive-FrictionNew account | >800k | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,664 | −$34 −2.0% | — |
| 243d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b043 fills | >500k | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,489 | −$61 −0.7% | — |
| 243d |  RadarMentions | >800k | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,577 | −$114 −2.0% | — |
| 243d |  HST7 | >800k | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,933 | −$39 −2.0% | — |
| 243d | fgrnkj3 fills | >800k | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,080 | +$226 +2.8% | 4 |
| 243d |  casus2 fills | >800k | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,689 | +$777 +17% | 4 |
| 243d | Instructive-FrictionNew account | >800k | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$197 +13% | 10 |
| 243d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | >500k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,118 | +$64 +0.7% | 4 |
| 243d | RevealG | >500k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,427 | +$28 +0.8% | 4 |
RadarMentions71,388 shares
Fartard7,468 sharesBlueLabelVintage3,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for the Pokemon Base Set 1st Edition Holo #4 Charizard - Logan Paul Break is greater than the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no sale is completed by February 28, 2026, ET this market will resolve to "No". The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (see: https://goldin.co/item/1999-pokemon-base-set-1st-edition-rare-holofoil-logan-paul-break-4-chajdvc5).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >500k means the market gives it about 100%.