| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 100,000 | 100¢ → >99¢ | $99,650 | +$150 +0.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 77¢ | $92,847 | +$89,072 +2359% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 75,000 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $68,625 | −$375 −0.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 50,000 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $49,525 | +$25 +0.1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 6,765 | 68¢ → 91¢ | $6,156 | +$1,578 +34% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 10,032 | 35¢ → 54¢ | $5,367 | +$1,900 +55% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,176 | 39¢ → >99¢ | $1,174 | +$715 +156% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,000 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $993 | +$188 +23% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 79d | Yes | 688 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $574 | +$39 +7.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20,000 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $410 | −$421 −51% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Ends in 134d | Yes | 4,432 | 24¢ → 7¢ | $310 | −$753 −71% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 411 | 39¢ → 36¢ | $146 | −$15 −9.1% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 134d | Yes | 709 | 51¢ → 20¢ | $138 | −$223 −62% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,512 | 26¢ → 3¢ | $43 | −$350 −89% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | Yes | 370 | 24¢ → 3¢ | $11 | −$78 −88% |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$3 +52% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 191 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$15 −71% |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 85¢ | $1 | +$1 +69% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,550 −100% |
| Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$349 −100% |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 291 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$333 −100% |
| Will Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,826 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,638 −100% |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,908 −100% |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$162 −100% |
| Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will Matthew Bensilum win the Clacton by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 190 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 54 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Giles Watling win the Clacton by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will John Stevens win the Clacton by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,480 −100% |
| Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18,561 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,018 −100% |
| Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,627 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,960 −100% |
| Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,302 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$785 −100% |
| Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Pamela Walford win the Clacton by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,210 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,359 −100% |
| Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,816 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30,000 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17,468 −100% |