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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hong Wang | 100% | +3 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Yu Deng | 100% | +3 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jack Thorne | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Pardon | 100% | +3 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jacob Tsimerman | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Julian Sahasrabudhe | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Will Sawin | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Raskin | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aleksandr Logunov | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Efimov | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vesselin Dimitrov | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86d | rollothomasi123 | Jacob Tsimerman | SellYes>99¢ | $1,061 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 86d |  LinaBell🦊 | Julian Sahasrabudhe | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,205 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 86d |  bigshort | Hong Wang | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 86d | Jxtoas | Hong Wang | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,188 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 86d | yyyrl4 fills | Hong Wang | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,990 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 86d | SweetChariot2 fills | Hong Wang | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,150 | +$14 +0.4% | 4 |
| 86d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | Jack Thorne | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,285 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 86d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | Hong Wang | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,656 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 86d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | Jacob Tsimerman | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,848 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 86d | SweetChariot | Yu Deng | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,111 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 86d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | John Pardon | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,648 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 86d |  James-Talarico2 fills | John Pardon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,685 | +$44 +1.2% | 20 |
| 86d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | Yu Deng | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,164 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 86d | bigshort | Yu Deng | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$14 +1.1% | 4 |
| 93d | Useful-Chain | Hong Wang | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,193 | −$40 −1.8% | — |
| 95d | Light-Constraint-Pita | Yu Deng | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$16 +1.2% | 4 |
| 95d | High-Level-Bran | Alexander Efimov | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$9 +0.9% | 4 |
| 96d | ief | Yu Deng | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$220 +12% | 4 |
| 96d | ief | Jack Thorne | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$210 +16% | 4 |
| 96d | ief | John Pardon | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | +$195 +15% | 20 |
| 96d |  The-Dove | Jacob Tsimerman | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,389 | +$434 +9.9% | 4 |
| 97d | piper88 | Hong Wang | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$44 +4.0% | 4 |
| 207d | AmberCooper7309 | Yu Deng | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,356 | −$1,356 −100% | 4 |
| 208d | RobinRodriguez3070 | Jack Thorne | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$542 +52% | 4 |
| 213d | AmandaRamirez8661 | John Pardon | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,043 | −$1,043 −100% | 20 |
| 213d | AnitaChoi4264 | Jack Thorne | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$592 +56% | 4 |
| 218d | TraceyGalvan3507 | Julian Sahasrabudhe | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,123 | +$746 +35% | 4 |
| 218d | JeremyGreen3473 | Julian Sahasrabudhe | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$374 +35% | 4 |
ProfessionalPunter2,302 sharesThe Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Hong Wang means the market gives it about 100%.