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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count Binface | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nigel Farage | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Giles Watling | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jovan Owusu-Nepaul | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matthew Bensilum | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Natasha Osben | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tony Mack | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Pemberton | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Laurence Fox | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Piers Corbyn | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adham Alkhatip | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rees Cowne | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Kai Stephens | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Luke Worley | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Stevens | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| William Clouston | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Pamela Walford | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AA | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AB | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AC | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AD | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AE | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AF | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AG | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AH | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AI | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AJ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AK | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AL | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AM | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AN | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AO | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AP | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AQ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AR | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64d |  Rex416 | Count Binface | SellYes>99¢ | $4,550 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 64d |  Flipadelphia | Laurence Fox | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,504 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 64d | Flipadelphia5 fills | Count Binface | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $47,118 | +$1,222 +2.6% | 10 |
| 64d | Flipadelphia | Nigel Farage | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,242 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 64d |  vinii | Count Binface | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$47 +3.2% | 10 |
| 64d | defillama7 | Nigel Farage | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,870 | +$106 +0.5% | 10 |
| 66d | LegendLilt | Laurence Fox | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,492 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 69d | thoodr | Count Binface | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,901 | +$99 +1.1% | 10 |
| 70d | thoodr3 fills | Nigel Farage | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,612 | +$188 +1.0% | 10 |
| 72d | nedsta | Count Binface | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,718 | +$71 +2.6% | 10 |
| 72d | Athletic-Manager | Count Binface | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,777 | −$198 −4.1% | — |
| 72d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | Count Binface | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,424 | +$76 +3.1% | 10 |
| 73d |  zb8 | Count Binface | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,384 | +$141 +4.2% | 10 |
| 74d | StraddleSeller | Count Binface | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | −$150 −5.3% | — |
| 74d | StudentMoney | Nigel Farage | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,737 | +$148 +1.5% | 10 |
| 75d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | Nigel Farage | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$18 +1.6% | 10 |
| 75d | KiernanMeister | Nigel Farage | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,401 | +$152 +2.1% | 10 |
| 75d | KiernanMeister | Count Binface | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $17,095 | +$1,899 +11% | 10 |
| 75d | silent | Count Binface | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$220 +12% | 10 |
| 75d | zb83 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo18¢ → 0¢ | $5,259 | −$5,259 −100% | 20 |
| 75d |  theta-thunberg | William Clouston | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | +$77 +6.8% | 10 |
| 75d |  Valen9 | Count Binface | SellNo15¢ → 0¢ | $1,398 | +$1,398 +100% | — |
| 76d | whig | Count Binface | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $9,343 | +$2,231 +24% | 10 |
| 76d | TrueDignity2 fills | Count Binface | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,323 | −$577 −25% | — |
| 78d | limetasx | Count Binface | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 14 |
| 78d |  MrShrig67 | Count Binface | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | +$381 +27% | 10 |
| 79d | Zebedeee5 fills | Count Binface | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $11,649 | +$3,681 +32% | 10 |
| 82d | StraddleSeller | Count Binface | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$440 +28% | 10 |
| 83d | SlavaUkraini2 fills | Count Binface | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $21,969 | +$7,850 +36% | 10 |
| 85d |  NotHarrisonHohman | Count Binface | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,180 | +$1,048 +33% | 10 |
| 87d | SlavaUkraini | John Stevens | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$126 +11% | 10 |
| 87d | Bodytobody2 fills | Count Binface | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,579 | −$1,646 −64% | — |
| 87d |  Parz1vaI | Count Binface | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,867 | −$1,867 −100% | 11 |
| 88d | nelbal84863 fills | Count Binface | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $4,908 | +$2,566 +52% | 10 |
| 88d | apmt2 fills | Count Binface | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,223 | +$1,039 +47% | 10 |
| 88d | nelbal8486 | Count Binface | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,787 | −$1,708 −61% | — |
| 91d |  ProfessionalPunter3 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $6,084 | −$6,084 −100% | 16 |
| 91d | nelbal8486 | Laurence Fox | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,418 | +$248 +7.3% | 10 |
| 91d | theta-thunberg | Count Binface | BuyNo21¢ → 0¢ | $1,255 | −$1,255 −100% | 11 |
| 93d | cledisidiot2 fills | Count Binface | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $5,365 | +$1,619 +30% | 10 |
| 94d | BadImp | Count Binface | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$626 +32% | 10 |
| 94d | Test6692 fills | Nigel Farage | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,649 | +$276 +5.9% | 10 |
| 95d | Athletic-Manager | Count Binface | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$780 +39% | 10 |
| 98d | TrueDignity | Count Binface | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,332 | +$571 +43% | 10 |
| 99d | groth | Nigel Farage | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | +$117 +11% | 10 |
| 100d |  The-Joker | Count Binface | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$161 +10% | 10 |
| 100d | ProfessionalPunter | Count Binface | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | +$292 +24% | 10 |
tetrominos35,000 shares
Humble-Monk18,301 shares
0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e059,834 shares
GollumGekko8,080 sharesA by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Count Binface means the market gives it about 100%.