| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 32,731 | 66¢ → 73¢ | $23,730 | +$2,032 +9.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 15,922 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $14,569 | −$31 −0.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 13,806 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $13,047 | +$201 +1.6% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 12,249 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $11,085 | −$57 −0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 9,526 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $8,621 | −$26 −0.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 9,870 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $8,340 | +$148 +1.8% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 9,855 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $7,736 | −$148 −1.9% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 7,696 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $7,157 | +$454 +6.8% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9,379 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $6,800 | −$219 −3.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 10,381 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $6,488 | +$230 +3.7% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 9,694 | 52¢ → 66¢ | $6,350 | +$1,310 +26% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 6,462 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $4,685 | +$89 +1.9% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 4,808 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $4,570 | +$125 +2.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 6,305 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $3,941 | −$72 −1.8% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 3,657 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $3,420 | +$27 +0.8% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 5,647 | 66¢ → 61¢ | $3,416 | −$283 −7.7% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 4,417 | 68¢ → 76¢ | $3,335 | +$323 +11% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 4,284 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $3,234 | −$100 −3.0% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 4,495 | 77¢ → 67¢ | $3,000 | −$454 −13% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 6,205 | 51¢ → 48¢ | $2,988 | −$169 −5.4% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,941 | 78¢ → 74¢ | $2,897 | −$195 −6.3% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 3,000 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $2,745 | +$165 +6.4% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 3,540 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $2,673 | −$10 −0.4% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,508 | 69¢ → 75¢ | $2,631 | +$210 +8.7% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 3,309 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $2,482 | −$48 −1.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,802 | 66¢ → 89¢ | $2,480 | +$628 +34% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,633 | 56¢ → 89¢ | $2,331 | +$858 +58% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,647 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $2,300 | +$87 +3.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 2,933 | 71¢ → 77¢ | $2,255 | +$174 +8.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,119 | 54¢ → 72¢ | $2,230 | +$542 +32% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,082 | 55¢ → 72¢ | $2,203 | +$514 +30% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,500 | 69¢ → 87¢ | $2,163 | +$438 +25% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,123 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $1,879 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 26,507 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $1,842 | −$226 −11% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Ends in 75d | No | 1,866 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,782 | +$32 +1.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,024 | 66¢ → 88¢ | $1,771 | +$440 +33% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 6,169 | 17¢ → 28¢ | $1,697 | +$648 +62% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 1,960 | 18¢ → 79¢ | $1,548 | +$1,199 +343% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,350 | 55¢ → 66¢ | $1,539 | +$248 +19% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,000 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $1,410 | −$50 −3.4% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 2,250 | 65¢ → 62¢ | $1,401 | −$58 −4.0% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,719 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $1,358 | +$42 +3.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 1,990 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $1,343 | +$27 +2.1% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,464 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $1,340 | +$105 +8.5% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12,410 | 30¢ → 11¢ | $1,303 | −$2,400 −65% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | No | 2,924 | 44¢ → 45¢ | $1,301 | +$22 +1.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,000 | 55¢ → 65¢ | $1,290 | +$190 +17% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 1,600 | 73¢ → 81¢ | $1,288 | +$120 +10% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,000 | 26¢ → 26¢ | $1,275 | −$25 −1.9% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,270 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $1,237 | +$6 +0.5% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,241 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $1,229 | +$37 +3.1% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 1,936 | 45¢ → 63¢ | $1,220 | +$342 +39% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 6,208 | 30¢ → 20¢ | $1,211 | −$650 −35% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,777 | 51¢ → 65¢ | $1,146 | +$240 +26% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,206 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $1,097 | +$78 +7.6% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | No | 1,111 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $1,086 | +$63 +6.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 5,000 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $1,075 | +$25 +2.4% |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,095 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,075 | +$21 +2.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 7,836 | 34¢ → 13¢ | $1,046 | −$1,612 −61% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 6,235 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $1,023 | −$18 −1.7% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,837 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $975 | −$245 −20% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,474 | 56¢ → 66¢ | $972 | +$145 +18% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 1,692 | 64¢ → 56¢ | $939 | −$145 −13% |
| Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 900 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $885 | +$14 +1.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 903 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $876 | +$44 +5.3% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 1,267 | 47¢ → 67¢ | $849 | +$251 +42% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 846 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $839 | +$120 +17% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 944 | 71¢ → 86¢ | $807 | +$138 +21% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,500 | 42¢ → 54¢ | $803 | +$173 +28% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 827 | 68¢ → 85¢ | $699 | +$134 +24% |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | No | 706 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $663 | +$30 +4.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 978 | 55¢ → 64¢ | $621 | +$88 +16% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 2,376 | 10¢ → 24¢ | $558 | +$312 +127% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,000 | 23¢ → 19¢ | $555 | −$150 −21% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 665 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $549 | +$12 +2.2% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 106d | No | 719 | 57¢ → 73¢ | $522 | +$111 +27% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 21,173 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $498 | +$134 +37% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 501 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $485 | +$6 +1.2% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,333 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $472 | −$28 −5.7% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,000 | 60¢ → 47¢ | $465 | −$135 −23% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ → 9¢ | $463 | +$435 +1587% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 393 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $383 | +$15 +4.2% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 1,980 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $376 | −$31 −7.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,101 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $368 | −$32 −7.9% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 470 | 69¢ → 75¢ | $353 | +$27 +8.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 5,713 | 27¢ → 6¢ | $343 | −$1,199 −78% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 400 | 83¢ → 78¢ | $310 | −$22 −6.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 494 | 50¢ → 63¢ | $309 | +$62 +25% |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?Ends in 16d | Yes | 425 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $299 | +$22 +7.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,092 | 26¢ → 14¢ | $282 | −$259 −48% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,071 | 31¢ → 14¢ | $280 | −$363 −56% |
| Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 385 | 75¢ → 72¢ | $277 | −$12 −4.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,766 | 16¢ → 15¢ | $269 | −$14 −5.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1,793 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $260 | −$104 −29% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,221 | 48¢ → 8¢ | $256 | −$1,280 −83% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5,463 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $224 | +$5 +2.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 241 | 71¢ → 89¢ | $213 | +$43 +25% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 322 | 8¢ → 57¢ | $183 | +$158 +635% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 220 | 60¢ → 82¢ | $181 | +$48 +36% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 222 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $179 | −$1 −0.6% |
