Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dems sweep | 71% | — | +5 pts | 70¢ · 71¢ (1¢) | — | in 17d |
| Reps MI, Dems MN & NH | 20% | 0 pts | +6 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (1¢) | $16 | in 17d |
| Dems MI & MN, Reps NH | 4% | −1 pts | −14 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | — | in 17d |
| Dems MI & NH, Reps MN | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 17d |
| Reps MI & MN, Dems NH | 2% | 0 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 17d |
| Reps sweep | 2% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 17d |
| Dems MI, Reps MN & NH | 1% | +1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 17d |
| Reps MI & NH, Dems MN | 1% | 0 pts | −6 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $106 | in 17d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 71¢ for Dems sweep means the market gives it about 71%.