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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-24 | 42% | −3 pts | +5 pts | 41¢ · 43¢ (2¢) | $2.14K | in 10d |
| <20 | 25% | +8 pts | +11 pts | 25¢ · 26¢ (1¢) | $12.3K | in 10d |
| 25-29 | 24% | −1 pts | −5 pts | 23¢ · 24¢ (1¢) | $6.62K | in 10d |
| 30-34 | 9% | −2 pts | −4 pts | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | $9.07K | in 10d |
| 35+ | 1% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $4.18K | in 10d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20h | flawfence | 30-34 | BuyNo91¢ → 92¢ | $7,065 | +$49 +0.7% | 16 |
| 20h | flawfence | <20 | BuyYes23¢ → 25¢ | $2,154 | +$238 +11% | 28 |
| 1d | basic-281 | 30-34 | BuyNo90¢ → 92¢ | $1,358 | +$23 +1.7% | 14 |
| 1d | nope3050 | <20 | BuyNo82¢ → 75¢ | $1,039 | −$96 −9.3% | 14 |
| 2d | Outlandish-Boxspring5 fills | 30-34 | BuyYes15¢ → 9¢ | $8,000 | −$3,531 −44% | 44 |
| 6d | nope3050 | 30-34 | BuyNo88¢ → 92¢ | $1,320 | +$53 +4.0% | 15 |
| 7d | meirs | 20-24 | BuyNo64¢ → 58¢ | $1,200 | −$112 −9.4% | 30 |
| 7d | Dense-Breadfruit2 fills | 25-29 | BuyYes29¢ → 24¢ | $2,473 | −$455 −18% | 34 |
| 10d |  mr.ozi | 30-34 | BuyNo86¢ → 92¢ | $1,832 | +$117 +6.4% | 18 |
| 10d | cashy2 fills | 35+ | BuyNo99¢ | $3,541 | +$9 +0.3% | 11 |
| 11d | Eladyitshaki | <20 | BuyNo87¢ → 75¢ | $3,500 | −$493 −14% | 19 |
| 11d |  mewmew1 | 30-34 | BuyNo86¢ → 92¢ | $1,786 | +$106 +5.9% | 17 |
| 12d | Sticky-Closing7 fills | <20 | BuyNo83¢ → 75¢ | $14,466 | −$1,369 −9.5% | 22 |
| 12d | cashy4 fills | 30-34 | BuyNo86¢ → 92¢ | $17,739 | +$1,124 +6.3% | 19 |
| 12d | Gentle-Spokesman2 fills | <20 | BuyNo77¢ → 75¢ | $3,309 | −$86 −2.6% | 26 |
| 14d | pakukudolphi2 fills | 30-34 | BuyNo89¢ → 92¢ | $14,070 | +$464 +3.3% | 18 |
| 15d | pakukudolphi | <20 | SellNo71¢ → 75¢ | $3,316 | −$195 −5.9% | — |
| 16d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | 30-34 | BuyNo87¢ → 92¢ | $1,028 | +$53 +5.2% | 14 |
| 16d | Sticky-Closing | <20 | SellNo77¢ → 75¢ | $6,515 | +$198 +3.0% | — |
| 27d | cashy | 25-29 | BuyNo74¢ → 77¢ | $1,373 | +$46 +3.4% | 24 |
| 29d | Skinny-Diving | 35+ | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $2,775 | +$102 +3.7% | 13 |
| 29d | Skinny-Diving | 20-24 | BuyYes40¢ → 42¢ | $1,333 | +$67 +5.0% | 31 |
| 29d | Skinny-Diving2 fills | 25-29 | BuyNo75¢ → 77¢ | $5,378 | +$137 +2.6% | 27 |
| 29d | Skinny-Diving2 fills | 30-34 | BuyNo89¢ → 92¢ | $13,009 | +$433 +3.3% | 18 |
| 37d | flawfence | 25-29 | BuyNo71¢ → 77¢ | $1,045 | +$81 +7.7% | 22 |
| 78d | Sticky-Closing | 20-24 | BuyNo65¢ → 58¢ | $1,430 | −$160 −11% | 30 |
| 116d |  RememberAmalek | 25-29 | BuyNo63¢ → 77¢ | $1,389 | +$289 +21% | 27 |
mr.ozi20,654 sharesRememberAmalek4,733 shares
Paul.Dirac1,232 shares
Haradwaith250 sharesLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 42¢ for 20-24 means the market gives it about 42%.