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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherrod Brown (D) | 66% | +4 pts | +4 pts | 65¢ · 66¢ (1¢) | $33.6K | in 18d |
| Jon Husted (R) | 36% | — | −3 pts | 35¢ · 36¢ (1¢) | $11.7K | in 18d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h | gugul | Sherrod Brown (D) | SellYes64¢ → 66¢ | $1,751 | −$41 −2.3% | — |
| 10h | dimuto38 | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo65¢ | $1,950 | −$15 −0.8% | 23 |
| 17h | gugul | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes66¢ | $1,806 | −$14 −0.8% | 14 |
| 20h | 0xf27dc | Sherrod Brown (D) | SellNo35¢ | $1,400 | +$20 +1.4% | — |
| 22h | WarriorH3 fills | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes60¢ → 66¢ | $3,986 | +$372 +9.3% | 19 |
| 22h | gateway- | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes62¢ → 66¢ | $10,006 | +$565 +5.6% | 30 |
| 1d | WarriorH | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo63¢ → 65¢ | $2,487 | +$59 +2.4% | 27 |
| 1d |  Do-Not-Redeem | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo62¢ → 65¢ | $32,179 | +$1,298 +4.0% | 30 |
| 2d |  peterfromfamilyguy | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyNo39¢ → 35¢ | $2,600 | −$300 −12% | 18 |
| 3d |  mrworldwide | Sherrod Brown (D) | SellYes61¢ → 66¢ | $1,534 | −$113 −7.4% | — |
| 3d | ClauseAI | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyNo39¢ → 35¢ | $5,850 | −$675 −12% | 28 |
| 3d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo61¢ → 65¢ | $1,046 | +$60 +5.7% | 17 |
| 5d |  .ethguy | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo62¢ → 65¢ | $1,930 | +$78 +4.1% | 23 |
| 6d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo59¢ → 65¢ | $7,824 | +$660 +8.4% | 30 |
| 8d | Do-Not-Redeem2 fills | Sherrod Brown (D) | SellYes62¢ → 66¢ | $19,697 | −$1,229 −6.2% | — |
| 8d | inrock30 | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes62¢ → 66¢ | $2,170 | +$123 +5.6% | 15 |
| 8d | Anthony-Dufresne | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes63¢ → 66¢ | $1,213 | +$48 +4.0% | 13 |
| 8d | bnbaltz | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes63¢ → 66¢ | $2,500 | +$100 +4.0% | 16 |
| 9d | supersmard2 fills | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes61¢ → 66¢ | $6,985 | +$487 +7.0% | 27 |
| 9d | mrworldwide | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes62¢ → 66¢ | $1,488 | +$84 +5.6% | 14 |
| 9d | cocococococo | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes62¢ → 66¢ | $1,378 | +$78 +5.6% | 13 |
| 9d | Giannis2026 | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes62¢ → 66¢ | $1,500 | +$85 +5.6% | 14 |
| 9d | Nowhere-Man | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo62¢ → 65¢ | $5,515 | +$222 +4.0% | 30 |
| 10d | Thick-Ambulance | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes62¢ → 66¢ | $5,000 | +$282 +5.6% | 22 |
| 12d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyNo39¢ → 35¢ | $1,200 | −$138 −12% | 13 |
| 14d |  mewmew1 | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes60¢ → 66¢ | $1,219 | +$112 +9.2% | 13 |
| 14d | VLONA | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes60¢ → 66¢ | $1,800 | +$165 +9.2% | 14 |
| 14d | ScottyNooo4 fills | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes59¢ → 66¢ | $28,162 | +$3,214 +11% | 30 |
| 15d | Olliii8013 fills | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes60¢ → 66¢ | $7,837 | +$663 +8.5% | 29 |
| 16d | lomneivan6 fills | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyNo44¢ → 35¢ | $42,154 | −$9,314 −22% | 34 |
| 16d | lomneivan5 fills | Jon Husted (R) | BuyYes43¢ → 36¢ | $44,110 | −$7,448 −17% | 35 |
| 17d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Jon Husted (R) | SellNo60¢ → 65¢ | $1,199 | −$90 −7.5% | — |
| 17d | Do-Not-Redeem3 fills | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes58¢ → 66¢ | $42,095 | +$5,223 +12% | 30 |
| 17d |  BiDiFakePolls | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes61¢ → 66¢ | $1,568 | +$117 +7.5% | 14 |
| 17d | purplegatto | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo59¢ → 65¢ | $1,991 | +$186 +9.3% | 24 |
| 18d | Eatpraylove | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo58¢ → 65¢ | $3,467 | +$389 +11% | 30 |
| 18d | HD45 | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes58¢ → 66¢ | $2,900 | +$375 +13% | 17 |
| 18d | ClauseAI | Jon Husted (R) | BuyYes42¢ → 36¢ | $2,290 | −$354 −15% | 27 |
| 18d |  New.Jeans | Sherrod Brown (D) | SellYes57¢ → 66¢ | $2,280 | −$340 −15% | — |
| 18d | plumbis | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes58¢ → 66¢ | $1,160 | +$150 +13% | 13 |
| 19d | pompey | Jon Husted (R) | BuyYes42¢ → 36¢ | $1,200 | −$186 −15% | 18 |
| 21d | l3t03 fills | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes61¢ → 66¢ | $4,597 | +$367 +8.0% | 21 |
| 21d | pieped2 fills | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes56¢ → 66¢ | $7,543 | +$1,261 +17% | 28 |
| 23d | New.Jeans | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes63¢ → 66¢ | $2,520 | +$100 +4.0% | 16 |
| 24d | purplegatto | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyNo39¢ → 35¢ | $3,083 | −$321 −10% | 20 |
| 25d |  nigiri996 fills | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo60¢ → 65¢ | $15,000 | +$1,125 +7.5% | 30 |
| 25d | nigiri99 | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes60¢ → 66¢ | $1,761 | +$161 +9.2% | 14 |
| 25d |  AngryRhino | Jon Husted (R) | SellNo60¢ → 65¢ | $9,130 | −$608 −6.7% | — |
| 26d | AngryRhino | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes55¢ → 66¢ | $22,000 | +$4,200 +19% | 30 |
| 26d | AngryRhino | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo55¢ → 65¢ | $20,827 | +$3,597 +17% | 30 |
| 26d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo55¢ → 65¢ | $2,180 | +$400 +18% | 25 |
| 26d | Railcool | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo55¢ → 65¢ | $11,000 | +$1,900 +17% | 30 |
| 27d | purplegatto2 fills | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes55¢ → 66¢ | $2,744 | +$524 +19% | 17 |
| 29d |  tunatyler | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes55¢ → 66¢ | $4,125 | +$787 +19% | 20 |
| 29d |  SIMO-HAYHA2 fills | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo54¢ → 65¢ | $6,618 | +$1,343 +20% | 30 |
| 31d | cryptoh01der7 | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes57¢ → 66¢ | $1,237 | +$184 +15% | 13 |
| 31d |  G.Hchen | Jon Husted (R) | BuyNo54¢ → 65¢ | $1,080 | +$210 +19% | 17 |
| 32d |  knrad | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes54¢ → 66¢ | $1,594 | +$339 +21% | 14 |
| 32d | madmartigan5 | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes54¢ → 66¢ | $1,080 | +$230 +21% | 13 |
| 33d |  bernardbulletin | Sherrod Brown (D) | BuyYes52¢ → 66¢ | $8,056 | +$2,091 +26% | 29 |
ScottyNooo55,548 sharesbernardbulletin12,946 sharespeterfromfamilyguy6,666 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 66¢ for Sherrod Brown (D) means the market gives it about 66%.