| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 16,605 | 57¢ → 66¢ | $10,876 | +$1,407 +15% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 9,041 | 55¢ → 65¢ | $5,832 | +$847 +17% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 5,477 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $5,176 | +$522 +11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 6,500 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $4,062 | −$57 −1.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 2,430 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $2,413 | +$7 +0.3% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 3,000 | 70¢ → 75¢ | $2,250 | +$150 +7.1% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,785 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $2,047 | +$42 +2.1% |
| Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | No | 1,963 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $1,855 | +$108 +6.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 4,000 | 44¢ → 42¢ | $1,660 | −$100 −5.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 5,000 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $1,475 | +$25 +1.7% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Ends in 74d | No | 2,000 | 78¢ → 66¢ | $1,320 | −$240 −15% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,117 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $1,055 | +$61 +6.2% |
| Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 16d | Brown | 1,018 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $1,003 | +$101 +11% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,210 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $986 | +$79 +8.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 4,389 | 26¢ → 21¢ | $900 | −$241 −21% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 4,000 | 18¢ → 21¢ | $820 | +$110 +15% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,030 | 90¢ → 79¢ | $813 | −$112 −12% |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Ends in 9d | No change | 743 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $684 | +$70 +11% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 611 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $578 | +$83 +17% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 3,025 | 13¢ → 19¢ | $560 | +$154 +38% |
| Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | No | 524 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $495 | +$3 +0.5% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,264 | 26¢ → 22¢ | $487 | −$102 −17% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 19,765 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $464 | +$10 +2.2% |
| Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 480 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $446 | +$38 +9.2% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 500 | 90¢ → 82¢ | $412 | −$41 −9.0% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 440d | Yes | 2,063 | 15¢ → 18¢ | $371 | +$60 +19% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,000 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $350 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 1,000 | 43¢ → 34¢ | $335 | −$95 −22% |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 342 | 67¢ → 70¢ | $240 | +$12 +5.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 4,000 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $196 | −$164 −46% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,097 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $189 | −$85 −31% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1,778 | 20¢ → 9¢ | $151 | −$212 −58% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $151 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 604 | 48¢ → 25¢ | $148 | −$142 −49% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 4d | Yes | 128 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $123 | +$6 +4.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2,000 | 22¢ → 6¢ | $120 | −$320 −73% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 600 | 44¢ → 20¢ | $117 | −$147 −56% |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 149 | 67¢ → 77¢ | $114 | +$15 +15% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 186 | 36¢ → 40¢ | $73 | +$7 +9.7% |
| Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?Ends in 5d | Yes | 266 | 22¢ → 26¢ | $69 | +$11 +18% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10,000 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $65 | −$175 −73% |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 87 | 40¢ → 41¢ | $35 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 3,518 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $26 | −$149 −85% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ID-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 441 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $16 | −$4 −18% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 23 | 11¢ → 16¢ | $4 | +$1 +45% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 23 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 95¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$9 −97% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 579 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$111 −100% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,357 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 828 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 266 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,449 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$208 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,050 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$129 −100% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 146 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 367 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$165 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,422 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$476 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 578 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Healthcare" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$159 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 220 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 479 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,226 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 474 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,941 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,424 −100% |
| Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,226 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$451 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 864 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,076 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$428 −100% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$583 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on September 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 224 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,994 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,134 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$242 −100% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,661 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$293 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 181 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,730 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$242 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 96°F or higher on September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 694 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$112 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,161 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$290 −100% |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 336 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 225 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 997 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,925 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Great Falls" during his Midterm Rally in Montana?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$216 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 526 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$119 −100% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 412 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$229 −100% |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 524 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$126 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 310 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,800 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$319 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
