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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Cury | 100% | +76 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tarcisio de Freitas | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jair Bolsonaro | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Haddad | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eduardo Bolsonaro | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ratinho Júnior | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Renan Santos | 0% | −58 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ronaldo Caiado | 0% | −19 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Romeu Zema | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Camilo Santana | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Geraldo Alckmin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aldo Rebelo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eduardo Leite | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tereza Cristina | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Helder Barbalho | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pablo Marçal | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | Welostbetting | Renan Santos | SellNo>99¢ | $1,841 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | haagzera1 | Augusto Cury | SellYes>99¢ | $3,532 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | laolumanjuuma | Augusto Cury | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,673 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 12d | Augusto Cury | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,093 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 12d | gaclfz2 fills | Augusto Cury | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,739 | +$28 +0.3% | 10 |
| 12d | gaclfz3 fills | Renan Santos | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,039 | +$78 +1.6% | 10 |
| 12d | Tradesama3 fills | Augusto Cury | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,331 | +$245 +5.7% | 11 |
| 12d | bettorfella | Augusto Cury | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,246 | −$132 −5.9% | — |
| 12d | Punctual-Motor | Renan Santos | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,376 | −$29 −2.1% | — |
| 12d | Tyatsmr3 fills | Augusto Cury | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,887 | +$476 +6.9% | 12 |
| 12d | SnowLover7 | Augusto Cury | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | +$124 +6.4% | 12 |
| 12d | Tradesama2 fills | Renan Santos | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,287 | +$435 +4.7% | 11 |
| 12d | Ad4mse7en | Renan Santos | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,801 | −$108 −6.0% | — |
| 12d | Renan Santos | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | −$71 −5.2% | — | |
| 12d | Randomfool2 fills | Augusto Cury | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,899 | +$463 +12% | 13 |
| 12d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Augusto Cury | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | −$154 −11% | — |
| 12d | Cloudy-Eveningwear3 fills | Renan Santos | SellYes11¢ → 0¢ | $4,397 | +$4,397 +100% | — |
| 12d | Augusto Cury | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,046 | +$356 +12% | 13 | |
| 12d | SnowLover7 | Renan Santos | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,152 | +$618 +15% | 13 |
| 12d | Renan Santos | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | −$400 −25% | — | |
| 12d | neutralwave233 fills | Renan Santos | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $6,734 | −$6,734 −100% | 20 |
| 12d | Renan Santos | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $5,907 | +$4,532 +77% | 10 | |
| 12d | Renan Santos | SellYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,660 | +$1,660 +100% | — | |
| 12d | flawfence2 fills | Ronaldo Caiado | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $14,507 | +$2,889 +20% | 14 |
| 12d | Renan Santos | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $2,255 | −$2,255 −100% | 18 | |
| 12d | Ronaldo Caiado | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $1,756 | −$1,756 −100% | 22 | |
| 12d | OskrM31 | Renan Santos | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 18 |
| 12d | LulaVaiPerder2 fills | Augusto Cury | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $3,329 | +$4,382 +132% | 20 |
| 12d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Renan Santos | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,720 | +$1,280 +47% | 10 |
| 12d | flawfence2 fills | Augusto Cury | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $3,676 | +$6,691 +182% | 14 |
| 13d | almost-never | Renan Santos | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,511 | +$1,504 +100% | 18 |
| 13d | Renan Santos | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,010 | −$1,010 −100% | 18 | |
| 13d | Renan Santos | SellYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,027 | +$1,027 +100% | — | |
| 13d | donthackme5 fills | Romeu Zema | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,831 | +$17 +0.3% | 10 |
| 13d | donthackme2 fills | Ronaldo Caiado | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$600 +25% | 13 |
| 13d | LulaVaiPerder | Renan Santos | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $5,602 | −$5,602 −100% | 18 |
| 13d | donthackme2 fills | Augusto Cury | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $2,282 | −$2,282 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | SuperavitFiscal3 fills | Renan Santos | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $6,222 | −$6,222 −100% | 10 |
| 13d | donthackme4 fills | Flávio Bolsonaro | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,751 | +$19 +0.3% | 10 |
| 13d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Augusto Cury | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,542 | −$1,542 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | Cloudy-Eveningwear8 fills | Renan Santos | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $18,923 | −$18,923 −100% | 10 |
| 13d | Studious-Crush | Renan Santos | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,774 | −$1,774 −100% | 15 |
| 13d | dromedaryy | Augusto Cury | BuyYes27¢ → 100¢ | $1,564 | +$4,215 +269% | 17 |
| 13d | Gaditima | Renan Santos | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,084 | −$1,084 −100% | 15 |
| 13d | defillama7 | Renan Santos | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$1,669 +121% | 15 |
| 14d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Augusto Cury | SellNo71¢ → 0¢ | $2,707 | +$2,707 +100% | — |
| 14d | haagzera1 | Renan Santos | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,360 | −$1,360 −100% | 15 |
| 14d | Renan2030 | Renan Santos | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $2,449 | −$2,449 −100% | 15 |
| 14d | Renan Santos | BuyNo40¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | +$2,767 +150% | 16 | |
| 14d | scrapbook | Renan Santos | BuyNo38¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$1,860 +163% | 15 |
| 15d | johnny-guitar2 fills | Renan Santos | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $3,004 | −$3,004 −100% | 12 |
| 15d | ivantoney4 fills | Renan Santos | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $19,864 | −$19,864 −100% | 12 |
| 15d | Augusto Cury | SellYes33¢ → 100¢ | $2,724 | −$5,619 −206% | — | |
| 15d | Ronaldo Caiado | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,211 | −$1,211 −100% | 13 | |
| 15d | Renan Santos | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $4,283 | −$4,283 −100% | 13 | |
| 16d | Tyatsmr | Renan Santos | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,197 | −$1,197 −100% | 12 |
| 16d | petruccisp | Augusto Cury | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,480 | +$1,480 +100% | — |
| 16d | ivantoney | Renan Santos | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $3,739 | +$3,721 +100% | 12 |
| 16d | papalardo2 fills | Renan Santos | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $4,914 | −$4,914 −100% | 12 |
| 16d | 123987456 | Augusto Cury | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,396 | −$1,396 −100% | 12 |
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Augusto Cury means the market gives it about 100%.