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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Clancy | 34% | −3 pts | +2 pts | 33¢ · 35¢ (2¢) | $185 | in 75d |
| Nicolás Maduro | 21% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (1¢) | $289 | in 166d |
| Sean 'Diddy' Combs | 16% | +15 pts | +15 pts | 13¢ · 18¢ (5¢) | $858 | in 75d |
| Nancy Guthrie | 10% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 10¢ · 10¢ (<1¢) | $151 | in 75d |
| Erling Haaland | 8% | −1 pts | +4 pts | 8¢ · 9¢ (<1¢) | $142 | in 166d |
| Donald Trump | 6% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | $522 | in 166d |
| Taylor Swift | 2% | −3 pts | −4 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | $101 | in 166d |
| Bad Bunny | 1% | −3 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $70.8 | in 166d |
| Lamine Yamal | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $70.8 | in 166d |
| Lionel Messi | 1% | −1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $226 | in 166d |
| Vladimir Putin | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $226 | in 166d |
| Jalen Brunson | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $70.8 | in 166d |
| Alysa Liu | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $70.8 | in 166d |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $70.8 | in 166d |
| Patrick Mahomes | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Sydney Sweeney | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Zohran Mamdani | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Matt Damon | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Robert Downey Jr. | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Kanye West | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Neymar | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Kylian Mbappé | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Christian Pulisic | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Jude Bellingham | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Sabrina Carpenter | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Elon Musk | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Billie Eilish | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Pedro Pascal | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $12.8 | in 75d |
| LeBron James | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Travis Kelce | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Caitlin Clark | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Jacob Elordi | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Ariana Grande | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| JD Vance | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Shohei Ohtani | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $70.8 | in 75d |
| Josh Allen | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Joe Burrow | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Timothée Chalamet | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Angel Reese | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Chappell Roan | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Scarlett Johansson | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Luka Dončić | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Anthony Edwards | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Stefon Diggs | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Scottie Scheffler | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Ja Morant | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Jake Paul | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Zendaya | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Luigi Mangione | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Pope Leo XIV | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 75d |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Melania Trump | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Gavin Newsom | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Karoline Leavitt | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| Lamar Jackson | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20.8 | in 166d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | pkz | Donald Trump | SellNo93¢ → 94¢ | $1,537 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 15d |  hwey346ed | Nancy Guthrie | BuyNo91¢ → 90¢ | $1,024 | −$7 −0.7% | 10 |
| 42d |  SaturnStormCube | Alysa Liu | BuyNo79¢ → >99¢ | $1,159 | +$301 +26% | 18 |
| 42d | SaturnStormCube | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo90¢ → 80¢ | $3,158 | −$366 −12% | 11 |
| 53d | Djibooty | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes49¢ → 21¢ | $3,395 | −$1,965 −58% | 24 |
| 71d |  Valen92 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo91¢ → 94¢ | $9,128 | −$270 −3.0% | — |
| 73d | Valen9 | Donald Trump | BuyNo89¢ → 94¢ | $6,050 | +$326 +5.4% | 11 |
| 76d | pkz | Donald Trump | BuyNo85¢ → 94¢ | $2,818 | +$284 +10% | 14 |
| 76d |  Vodka- | Donald Trump | BuyNo81¢ → 94¢ | $1,005 | +$161 +16% | 17 |
SaturnStormCube947 shares
balthazar200 shares
LornaPredicts189 shares
Erka-RoadTo1M673 shares
tescat530 shares
PaddyAlpha205 shares
El-Coronel93 sharesThis market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 34¢ for Lindsay Clancy means the market gives it about 34%.