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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Maduro | 71% | — | 0 pts | 71¢ · 72¢ (<1¢) | $7.18K | in 76d |
| Delcy Rodríguez | 25% | +2 pts | — | 24¢ · 25¢ (1¢) | $12K | in 76d |
| No Head of State | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $627 | in 74d |
| María Corina Machado | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.59 | in 76d |
| Jorge Rodríguez | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $90.4 | in 76d |
| Edmundo González | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $746 | in 74d |
| Marco Rubio | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.51K | in 74d |
| Pete Hegseth | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $2.52K | in 74d |
| Frank Donovan | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.68K | in 74d |
| Diosdado Cabello Rondón | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Dinorah Figuera | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Donald Trump | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Vladimir Padrino López | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Evan Pettus | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $52.8 | in 76d |
| Dan Caine | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Richard Grenell | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h | neutralwave23 | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyYes24¢ → 25¢ | $1,935 | +$40 +2.1% | 20 |
| 7h |  siick | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes72¢ → 71¢ | $3,575 | −$2 −0.1% | 23 |
| 1d |  ImBruceWayne | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes72¢ → 71¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | 15 |
| 1d | Ditto3212 fills | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes66¢ → 71¢ | $3,932 | +$298 +7.6% | 24 |
| 1d | anoin123 | Nicolás Maduro | SellNo31¢ → 29¢ | $2,906 | +$194 +6.7% | — |
| 1d |  duderr3 fills | Nicolás Maduro | SellYes74¢ → 71¢ | $4,607 | +$131 +2.9% | — |
| 2d |  ScottyNooo | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes68¢ → 71¢ | $3,780 | +$215 +5.7% | 24 |
| 2d |  0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | Nicolás Maduro | SellYes70¢ → 71¢ | $3,077 | −$67 −2.2% | — |
| 2d | hfv | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo29¢ | $1,450 | −$18 −1.3% | 22 |
| 2d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Nicolás Maduro | SellYes71¢ | $12,310 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | stupid22 | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes72¢ → 71¢ | $1,105 | −$8 −0.8% | 15 |
| 10d | chillballer | Nicolás Maduro | SellYes71¢ | $3,142 | −$13 −0.4% | — |
| 12d | Test6692 fills | Nicolás Maduro | SellYes71¢ | $2,888 | −$18 −0.6% | — |
| 12d | okongwoo2 | Nicolás Maduro | SellYes71¢ | $1,003 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 14d |  LehmanBrother2.0 | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes69¢ → 71¢ | $2,000 | +$71 +3.5% | 24 |
| 14d | YellowSnake | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes69¢ → 71¢ | $1,096 | +$39 +3.6% | 16 |
| 15d | Quarterly-Bond3 fills | Delcy Rodríguez | SellYes25¢ | $5,331 | +$75 +1.4% | — |
| 16d |  pup1 | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyYes23¢ → 25¢ | $1,150 | +$75 +6.5% | 12 |
| 16d |  JSG32 fills | Nicolás Maduro | SellYes71¢ | $6,464 | −$80 −1.2% | — |
| 17d | JSG3 | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes69¢ → 71¢ | $8,724 | +$285 +3.3% | 24 |
| 18d |  0xdc3E831cad | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes64¢ → 71¢ | $1,702 | +$193 +11% | 23 |
| 19d | pako2 fills | Nicolás Maduro | SellYes62¢ → 71¢ | $11,222 | −$1,719 −15% | — |
| 19d | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e053 fills | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes56¢ → 71¢ | $8,843 | +$2,537 +29% | 24 |
| 20d | ZZ-TIC-M1 | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes61¢ → 71¢ | $2,398 | +$429 +18% | 24 |
| 20d | Witty-Birch | Delcy Rodríguez | SellYes32¢ → 25¢ | $1,135 | +$275 +24% | — |
| 20d |  LiquidatedDegen | Delcy Rodríguez | SellYes34¢ → 25¢ | $1,060 | +$296 +28% | — |
| 21d |  tetrose | Nicolás Maduro | SellYes60¢ → 71¢ | $1,150 | −$213 −18% | — |
| 22d | chillballer2 fills | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes57¢ → 71¢ | $2,507 | +$648 +26% | 24 |
| 23d |  tetrase2 fills | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyNo54¢ → 76¢ | $2,483 | +$1,012 +41% | 21 |
| 23d | LiquidatedDegen | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyYes39¢ → 25¢ | $1,216 | −$452 −37% | 13 |
| 24d | dody | Jorge Rodríguez | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,610 | −$5 −0.2% | 4 |
| 24d | mr.ozi | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes59¢ → 71¢ | $2,590 | +$563 +22% | 24 |
| 24d |  OkieDokiePeon | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes59¢ → 71¢ | $1,761 | +$383 +22% | 24 |
| 24d | ImBruceWayne2 fills | Delcy Rodríguez | SellYes37¢ → 25¢ | $2,819 | +$971 +34% | — |
| 24d | ff11ff11 | Vladimir Padrino López | SellNo>99¢ | $1,297 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 24d | ff11ff11 | Vladimir Padrino López | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 24d |  Tian-Wen | Delcy Rodríguez | SellYes41¢ → 25¢ | $1,025 | +$412 +40% | — |
| 25d | nedsta3 fills | Delcy Rodríguez | SellYes43¢ → 25¢ | $3,487 | +$1,493 +43% | — |
| 25d |  suraxy | Delcy Rodríguez | SellYes45¢ → 25¢ | $1,098 | +$500 +46% | — |
| 25d | diadjaid | Delcy Rodríguez | SellYes45¢ → 25¢ | $2,475 | +$1,128 +46% | — |
| 25d |  Car | Delcy Rodríguez | SellYes47¢ → 25¢ | $1,760 | +$844 +48% | — |
| 25d |  theta-thunberg2 fills | Delcy Rodríguez | SellYes48¢ → 25¢ | $4,000 | +$1,939 +48% | — |
| 26d | tetrase4 fills | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes64¢ → 71¢ | $15,916 | +$1,942 +12% | 24 |
| 26d |  The-Joker | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyYes53¢ → 25¢ | $1,830 | −$987 −54% | 16 |
| 26d | Bigggggggg14 fills | No Head of State | BuyNo>99¢ → 98¢ | $33,428 | −$529 −1.6% | 4 |
| 26d | The-Joker | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyNo59¢ → 76¢ | $1,547 | +$430 +28% | 14 |
| 26d | theta-thunberg | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyYes47¢ → 25¢ | $3,970 | −$1,909 −48% | 25 |
| 26d | Tian-Wen | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyYes43¢ → 25¢ | $1,070 | −$458 −43% | 11 |
| 26d | nedsta | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyYes58¢ → 25¢ | $4,492 | −$2,582 −57% | 24 |
| 26d | 0x955c…990f3 fills | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes48¢ → 71¢ | $17,765 | +$8,428 +47% | 25 |
| 26d | Car | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyYes52¢ → 25¢ | $1,556 | −$821 −53% | 14 |
| 26d | tomorrownow | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo57¢ → 29¢ | $1,200 | −$597 −50% | 17 |
| 26d | Bigggggggg | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyNo51¢ → 76¢ | $1,037 | +$495 +48% | 11 |
| 27d | OkieDokiePeon | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyYes54¢ → 25¢ | $1,049 | −$572 −55% | 11 |
| 27d | bravisim02 fills | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo53¢ → 29¢ | $3,203 | −$1,479 −46% | 24 |
| 27d | bravisim0 | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyYes48¢ → 25¢ | $1,048 | −$511 −49% | 11 |
| 27d | FoldingKeene | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyYes47¢ → 25¢ | $1,925 | −$916 −48% | 17 |
| 27d | FoldingKeene | Nicolás Maduro | SellYes53¢ → 71¢ | $1,334 | −$453 −34% | — |
| 27d | ImBruceWayne2 fills | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyYes38¢ → 25¢ | $4,000 | −$1,408 −35% | 27 |
| 27d | Witty-Birch | Delcy Rodríguez | BuyYes37¢ → 25¢ | $1,300 | −$441 −34% | 13 |
tetrase36,544 shares
ImJustKen32,426 sharesmr.ozi31,955 sharesThis market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 71¢ for Nicolás Maduro means the market gives it about 71%.