| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 262,807 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $227,328 | +$3,605 +1.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 77,739 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $77,467 | +$391 +0.5% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 8,852 | 65¢ → 95¢ | $8,414 | +$2,656 +46% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 13,818 | 66¢ → 53¢ | $7,255 | −$1,835 −20% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 4,720 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $4,706 | +$398 +9.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,562 | 54¢ → 71¢ | $3,974 | +$989 +33% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 4,219 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $3,664 | +$520 +17% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15,000 | 45¢ → 21¢ | $3,075 | −$3,675 −54% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,652 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $1,602 | +$50 +3.2% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 1,023 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $999 | +$79 +8.6% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 667 | 77¢ → 98¢ | $651 | +$134 +26% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 576 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $559 | +$71 +15% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,040 | 19¢ → 4¢ | $427 | −$1,459 −77% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 234 | 74¢ → 98¢ | $229 | +$57 +33% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 561 | 36¢ → 41¢ | $227 | +$23 +11% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 230 | 82¢ → 99¢ | $227 | +$40 +21% |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,277 | 38¢ → 14¢ | $172 | −$307 −64% |
| Record crypto liquidation in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 156 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $147 | +$22 +18% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 71¢ → 91¢ | $91 | +$20 +29% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 45¢ → 14¢ | $15 | −$31 −68% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 15 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $14 | +$2 +12% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 255 | 62¢ → 5¢ | $14 | −$145 −91% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 39¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$5 +127% |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 64¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$2 +49% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 5 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$1 +22% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 65 | 30¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$15 −78% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 5 | 86¢ → 64¢ | $3 | −$1 −26% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 28¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$25 −89% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 53 | 42¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$20 −90% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 125 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$0 −31% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 50 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −58% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Ends in 75d | Yes | 18 | 64¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$11 −95% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 25¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −82% |
| Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 393 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 591 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$189 −100% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 828 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$674 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 487 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 34 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 61,667 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,190 −100% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Poland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14,210 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$387 −100% |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21,280 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16,937 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Trump's remarks not air?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 186 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,278 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,412 −100% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,167 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$925 −100% |
| Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 494 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$148 −100% |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,243 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,356 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,004 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 74 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 109 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$930 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| US bank failure by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 49 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 228 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 393 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$252 −100% |
| Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 291 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Aster all time high by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 240 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19,139 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,869 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 813 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 253 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 613 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$393 −100% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 251 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$143 −100% |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,265 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Congo" during events with Polish president on September 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 675 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$328 −100% |
| Will the US strike another country first?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 112 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$220 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will 53 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 72 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 361 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
