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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| None by June 30 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Position abolished | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Muhammad Mirbaqiri | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Sadegh Larijani | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Hassan Khomeini | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Reza Pahlavi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Hassan Shariatmadari | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Maryam Rajavi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Massoud Rajavi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Seyed Hossein Mousavian | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Reza Pirzadeh | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Navid Shomali | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Mustafa Hijri | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Ali Motahari | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Mostafa Pourmohammadi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Sadegh Mahsouli | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Masoud Pezeshkian | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Saeed Jalili | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Hassan Rouhani | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Mahmoud Ahmadinejad | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Mohammad Khatami | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Ali Larijani | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Alireza Arafi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Hashem Hosseini Bushehri | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Mohsen Araki | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Mohsen Qomi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Ali Asghar Hejazi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Mohammad Yasrebi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Mohammad Hadi Ghazanfari Khansari | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Khalil Mobasher Kashani | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Ahmad Khatami | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Nasir Hosseini | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Ahmad Vahidi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Abbas Araghchi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| v | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| w | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| x | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| aa | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ab | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ac | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ad | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ae | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| af | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ag | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ah | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ai | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| aj | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ak | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| al | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| am | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| an | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ao | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ap | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| aq | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ar | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| as | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| at | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| au | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| av | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| aw | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ax | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ay | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| az | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ba | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bb | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bc | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bd | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| be | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bf | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bg | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bh | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bi | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bj | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bk | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bl | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bm | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bn | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bo | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bp | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bq | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| br | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bs | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bt | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bu | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bv | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bw | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bx | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| by | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| bz | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ca | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cb | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cc | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cd | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ce | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cf | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cg | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ch | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ci | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cj | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ck | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cl | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cm | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cn | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| co | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cp | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cq | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cr | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cs | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| ct | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cu | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cv | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cw | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| cx | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222d | Xaci | None by June 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,281 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | 3.3.3 | Alireza Arafi | SellNo>99¢ | $7,052 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | 3.3.3 | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $9,178 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | 0x56cb…21a0 | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $1,020 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | BigBoiBettin | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $2,518 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 222d |  Naichli | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $10,995 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | TronOG | Ali Larijani | SellNo>99¢ | $3,511 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | Noobtrades | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | hlyhly93 | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $1,176 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | eth20000000 | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $15,395 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | benpaodeheimao | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $1,127 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 222d |  scottilicious | None by June 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 222d |  TeemuPukki | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,616 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d |  Siuuuuuuuuu | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,778 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d |  Noooooooop | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d | Codm96 | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $6,382 | −$13 −0.2% | — |
| 222d | IlIIllIIIllIIl2 fills | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $64,246 | −$191 −0.3% | — |
| 222d | False-Proposition | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $9,630 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 222d |  MoMBonds | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,762 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d |  debased3 fills | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $5,770 | +$706 +12% | 4 |
| 222d | Prickly-Fortune | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $1,437 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 222d |  HolyKnight | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $1,227 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 222d |  Outsid3rTrading | None by June 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,225 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | alienreal | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $81,153 | +$81 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d | tong012 | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,490 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d | Siuuuuuuuuu | Alireza Arafi | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,536 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d |  timemachinee | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,955 | +$29 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d | Vital-Mathematics | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,977 | +$23 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d |  predictable | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $2,054 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 222d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Position abolished | SellNo>99¢ | $3,061 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | ManCangGangGanDaDanGan | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,935 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 222d | Justtestingitout | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $4,386 | −$13 −0.3% | — |
| 222d |  Shovelface | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $7,477 | −$22 −0.3% | — |
| 222d |  justmeandme | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 222d |  RealWigger | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $1,963 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 222d |  JJo | None by June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,133 | +$29 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d |  HanSooyoung | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $1,225 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 222d | Staid-Execution | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $1,344 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 222d |  pxxp | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $3,827 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 222d | Known-Stock | Position abolished | SellNo>99¢ | $3,596 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | alliswell4 fills | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $42,402 | +$85 +0.2% | 4 |
| 222d | Envious-TapNew account | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $3,988 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 222d | Humble-Colonization | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,907 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 222d | scottilicious | Position abolished | SellNo>99¢ | $8,353 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 222d |  BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $39,959 | +$120 +0.3% | 4 |
| 222d | narchiebald2 fills | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $2,496 | −$1,958 −78% | — |
| 222d | dizzydes | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $1,320 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 222d | Banelinho | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $5,677 | −$17 −0.3% | — |
| 222d | FlyingPlaty | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,576 | +$20 +0.3% | 4 |
| 222d |  Vulture-8112 fills | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $8,573 | −$23 −0.3% | — |
| 222d |  Quantintel | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $1,786 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 222d | 0x1848…0a09 | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $4,601 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 222d |  noreasapa | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,970 | +$30 +0.3% | 4 |
| 222d | JoseB144 | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,985 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 222d | BrightStars8 fills | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $38,279 | −$6,609 −17% | — |
| 222d | alliswell | Position abolished | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,162 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 222d | doep | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $1,318 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 222d | Short-Wafer | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $2,562 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 222d | LuckyWin | Mojtaba Khamenei | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,053 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 222d | SweetOld | Mojtaba Khamenei | SellYes>99¢ | $1,446 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
Marcelo.33144 shares
ImJustKen63,876 sharesThe Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts. This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei. Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market. If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”. If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”. Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Mojtaba Khamenei means the market gives it about 100%.