| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 21,099 | 38¢ → 13¢ | $2,637 | −$5,436 −67% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 10,960 | 26¢ → 10¢ | $1,041 | −$1,816 −64% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 29,008 | 27¢ → 2¢ | $624 | −$7,177 −92% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 4,459 | 17¢ → 11¢ | $468 | −$295 −39% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7,161 | 27¢ → 7¢ | $465 | −$1,487 −76% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 800 | 46¢ → 31¢ | $244 | −$123 −34% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,318 | 25¢ → 7¢ | $162 | −$413 −72% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 2,000 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $130 | −$130 −50% |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,997 | 19¢ → 4¢ | $114 | −$449 −80% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 500 | 29¢ → 19¢ | $93 | −$53 −36% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 300 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $83 | −$11 −11% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 884 | 35¢ → 9¢ | $80 | −$230 −74% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 250 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $66 | +$4 +6.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?Ends in 195d | Yes | 150 | 43¢ → 39¢ | $58 | −$6 −9.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,021 | 22¢ → 6¢ | $56 | −$167 −75% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 394 | 25¢ → 13¢ | $53 | −$47 −47% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 800 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $52 | −$84 −62% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,502 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $43 | −$107 −71% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,161 | 23¢ → 3¢ | $40 | −$230 −85% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 557 | 18¢ → 7¢ | $38 | −$62 −62% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,155 | 23¢ → 3¢ | $36 | −$224 −86% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 308 | 33¢ → 12¢ | $35 | −$65 −65% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 522 | 19¢ → 7¢ | $34 | −$66 −66% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 458 | 28¢ → 6¢ | $27 | −$103 −79% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 500 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $25 | +$7 +38% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $24 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 226d | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 47¢ | $23 | −$2 −7.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,283 | 19¢ → 2¢ | $19 | −$221 −92% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 87 | 46¢ → 22¢ | $19 | −$21 −53% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 160 | 25¢ → 8¢ | $13 | −$27 −68% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?Ends in 287d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 51¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 261 | 18¢ → 4¢ | $9 | −$38 −80% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,925 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$93 −93% |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 965 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$91 −95% |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 141 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$16 −78% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,115 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$87 −96% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 79 | 34¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$24 −89% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 40 | 37¢ → 7¢ | $3 | −$12 −81% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 18¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$16 −87% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,111 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$8 −83% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 111 | 27¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$29 −98% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 111 | 9¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −97% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −3.7% |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 810 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 196 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,777 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,866 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,973 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$900 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 222 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 476 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 345 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,960 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,640 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 172 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 481 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$215 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Settled - ready to redeem | No | 667 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,129 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$226 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,771 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$279 −100% |
| Will Solana reach $100 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 713 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$293 −100% |
| Will Solana reach $110 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 290 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 294 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 286 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$435 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 325 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 185 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 302 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 236 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,195 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 98 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 470 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$371 −100% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,045 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,836 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$173 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 104 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 298 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 643 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 94 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,110 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$166 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 444 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 248 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,634 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,391 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 338 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 440 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 543 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23,134 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,135 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 698 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 323 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 706 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,964 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$525 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,200 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$180 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 81 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 658 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,648 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 680 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,500 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,800 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,242 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,206 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,287 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$480 −100% |
| Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,703 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$222 −100% |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 365 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
