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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Burnham | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| Lucy Powell | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Wes Streeting | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Angela Rayner | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Nigel Farage | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Kemi Badenoch | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Yvette Cooper | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Shabana Mahmood | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Ed Miliband | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Boris Johnson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Ed Davey | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Bridget Phillipson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Rupert Lowe | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Rachel Reeves | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Robert Jenrick | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| David Lammy | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| James Cleverly | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Darren Jones | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Al Carns | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| John Healey | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| OG Anunoby Jr. | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AA | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AB | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AC | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AD | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AE | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AF | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AG | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AH | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AI | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AJ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AK | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AL | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AM | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person AN | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| No Next PM in 2026 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90d | Trustinghorse | Andy Burnham | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,249 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 90d | marchonnow | Andy Burnham | SellYes>99¢ | $2,383 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 90d | nedsta3 fills | Andy Burnham | SellYes>99¢ | $12,773 | −$26 −0.2% | — |
| 91d | AJM96 | Andy Burnham | SellYes>99¢ | $14,024 | −$28 −0.2% | — |
| 91d | weirdmoon32 fills | Andy Burnham | SellYes>99¢ | $3,497 | −$13 −0.4% | — |
| 91d | Occasionalbettor | Andy Burnham | SellYes>99¢ | $19,960 | −$40 −0.2% | — |
| 91d | Andy Burnham | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,171 | +$24 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 92d | thoodr | Andy Burnham | SellYes>99¢ | $12,054 | −$25 −0.2% | — |
| 92d | Nigel Farage | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,343 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 92d | HongKongMenace | Andy Burnham | SellYes>99¢ | $7,979 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 92d | SplendidAmadeus4 fills | Andy Burnham | SellYes>99¢ | $21,808 | −$106 −0.5% | — |
| 92d | buoys | Andy Burnham | SellYes>99¢ | $1,814 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 93d | Acceptable-Reminder | Andy Burnham | SellYes>99¢ | $2,054 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 94d | EnergyGeek | Andy Burnham | SellYes100¢ | $5,005 | −$25 −0.5% | — |
| 95d | Andy Burnham | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,689 | −$19 −0.7% | — | |
| 95d | nelbal8486 | Andy Burnham | SellYes100¢ | $2,805 | −$14 −0.5% | — |
| 95d | Thombg | Andy Burnham | SellYes>99¢ | $1,394 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 96d | Andy Burnham | SellYes100¢ | $1,402 | −$7 −0.5% | — | |
| 97d | Andy Burnham | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | −$12 −0.7% | — | |
| 97d | Andy Burnham | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,024 | −$64 −0.7% | — | |
| 98d | bukajkeceram7980 | Andy Burnham | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,880 | +$29 +0.3% | 4 |
| 98d | Cal800 | Andy Burnham | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,903 | +$20 +0.7% | 4 |
| 98d | lonewolfcapital | Andy Burnham | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 4 |
| 99d | thoodr3 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,163 | +$84 +0.9% | 4 |
| 99d | Andy Burnham | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,911 | +$52 +1.8% | 4 | |
| 101d | SplendidAmadeus4 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,596 | +$195 +3.0% | 4 |
| 102d | Andy Burnham | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,133 | +$67 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 108d | 888wolf | Yvette Cooper | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 108d | Andy Burnham | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$20 +1.7% | 4 | |
| 108d | Andy Burnham | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$25 −2.4% | — | |
| 109d | 764astral | Nigel Farage | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,231 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 109d | Randomfool | Andy Burnham | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,962 | +$326 +2.0% | 4 |
| 109d | 0x601e…bd79 | Andy Burnham | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,975 | −$42 −2.1% | — |
| 109d | 0x601e…bd79 | Andy Burnham | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,977 | +$40 +2.0% | 4 |
| 109d | KiernanMeister | Andy Burnham | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $39,231 | +$801 +2.0% | 4 |
| 109d | vectororion1941 | Darren Jones | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,215 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 109d | paragonfalcon | Darren Jones | SellNo>99¢ | $1,063 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 109d | paragonfalcon | Darren Jones | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,026 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 110d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Andy Burnham | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$29 +2.2% | 4 |
| 110d | Rupert Lowe | SellNo>99¢ | $2,868 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 110d | 222capitalastra | No Next PM in 2026 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,276 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 110d | 222capitalastra | No Next PM in 2026 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,238 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 110d | vectorarcane | Wes Streeting | SellNo>99¢ | $1,310 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 110d | vectorarcane | Wes Streeting | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,275 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 110d | MALAY99 | Andy Burnham | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,119 | −$160 −2.6% | — |
| 110d | 130skymatrix | Al Carns | BuyNo100¢ | $1,052 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 110d | Sagand | Andy Burnham | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$41 +2.1% | 4 |
| 110d | Andy Burnham | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,491 | −$64 −2.6% | — | |
| 111d | nedsta2 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,135 | +$265 +2.2% | 4 |
| 111d | chronosdragon | Darren Jones | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,075 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 112d | weirdmoon32 fills | Andy Burnham | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,382 | +$127 +3.8% | 4 |
| 112d | 2048cortex | Shabana Mahmood | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 112d | 1965wolfturbo | Wes Streeting | SellNo>99¢ | $1,046 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 112d | Popcorn | No Next PM in 2026 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,050 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 112d | Thombg | Andy Burnham | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$32 +2.2% | 4 |
| 113d | Malganis | Andy Burnham | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | −$36 −2.5% | — |
| 113d | Elias.Thornwell | Andy Burnham | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,007 | +$47 +2.4% | 4 |
| 113d | DualDelta3 fills | Andy Burnham | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $8,078 | −$1,886 −23% | — |
| 114d | arcterra | Shabana Mahmood | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,256 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 115d | alwayslatetotheparty5 fills | Andy Burnham | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $16,353 | −$507 −3.1% | — |
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Andy Burnham means the market gives it about 100%.