| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,333 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $1,260 | +$140 +13% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 2,061 | 27¢ → 39¢ | $794 | +$237 +43% |
| OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,065 | 34¢ → 64¢ | $681 | +$315 +86% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 970 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $660 | +$22 +3.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,779 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $500 | +$10 +2.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 27¢ → 38¢ | $375 | +$105 +39% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,000 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $370 | −$50 −12% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,759 | 19¢ → 12¢ | $332 | −$180 −35% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 287d | Yes | 1,064 | 38¢ → 28¢ | $303 | −$101 −25% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 395 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $260 | +$2 +0.6% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 274 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $251 | +$23 +10% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 291 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $231 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 250 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $226 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 187 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $181 | +$18 +11% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 673 | 32¢ → 27¢ | $178 | −$37 −17% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 242 | 73¢ → 74¢ | $178 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $175 | −$3 −1.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 400 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $158 | +$8 +5.0% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | No | 400 | 40¢ → 39¢ | $154 | −$7 −4.3% |
| Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 159 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $138 | +$7 +5.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 22d | No | 399 | 37¢ → 34¢ | $134 | −$14 −9.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 200 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $125 | −$5 −3.8% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,100 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $122 | −$95 −44% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 150 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $115 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | Yes | 392 | 38¢ → 29¢ | $114 | −$34 −23% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,151 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $102 | −$32 −24% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 110 | 63¢ → 71¢ | $78 | +$9 +13% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 100 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $77 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 77 | 74¢ → 80¢ | $61 | +$4 +7.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,034 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $60 | −$123 −67% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 60 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $57 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 80 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $54 | $0 0.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 57¢ → 54¢ | $53 | −$4 −7.0% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 82 | 65¢ → 64¢ | $52 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 186 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $51 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 50 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $49 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 50 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$2 +4.0% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $48 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $48 | +$2 +4.5% |
| Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $47 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | Yes | 200 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $47 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 50 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,456 | 25¢ → 3¢ | $47 | −$312 −87% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 100 | 46¢ → 47¢ | $46 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $46 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $46 | +$3 +6.3% |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $46 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $46 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $45 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $45 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $44 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $44 | $0 0.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $44 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 100 | 64¢ → 44¢ | $43 | −$20 −32% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?Ends in 62d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 87¢ | $43 | +$7 +20% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $43 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $42 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 50 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $42 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d | No | 50 | 75¢ → 80¢ | $40 | +$3 +6.7% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 50 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 50 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $39 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 50 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $39 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will AlloX launch a token by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 50 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $39 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 78¢ | $39 | −$5 −12% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 50 | 81¢ → 78¢ | $39 | −$2 −4.3% |
| Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 67¢ → 77¢ | $38 | +$5 +14% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 50 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $38 | +$2 +4.8% |
| Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 68¢ → 76¢ | $38 | +$4 +12% |
| Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $38 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 80¢ → 76¢ | $38 | −$2 −5.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | No | 127 | 32¢ → 30¢ | $37 | −$3 −8.3% |
| Will Canza launch a token by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 50 | 53¢ → 74¢ | $37 | +$11 +40% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 200 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $37 | −$7 −15% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 50 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $37 | +$1 +3.5% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 294 | 21¢ → 13¢ | $37 | −$25 −41% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $36 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 50 | 76¢ → 73¢ | $36 | −$2 −4.1% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d | Yes | 45 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $36 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will Catena launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $36 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 43 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $36 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 66¢ → 71¢ | $35 | +$2 +6.8% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 50 | 66¢ → 71¢ | $35 | +$2 +6.8% |
| Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 50 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $35 | −$0 −0.7% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 66¢ → 70¢ | $35 | +$2 +5.3% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 159 | 24¢ → 22¢ | $34 | −$4 −9.5% |
| Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 59¢ → 68¢ | $34 | +$5 +15% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 80 | 41¢ → 43¢ | $34 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 234 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $34 | +$1 +2.5% |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 39 | 49¢ → 86¢ | $34 | +$15 +76% |
| Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d | Yes | 50 | 64¢ → 68¢ | $34 | +$2 +5.5% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 45 | 50¢ → 75¢ | $34 | +$11 +49% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 45 | 67¢ → 75¢ | $34 | +$3 +11% |
| Will Tuyo launch a token by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 50 | 65¢ → 67¢ | $34 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 50 | 74¢ → 67¢ | $34 | −$4 −9.5% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $33 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Nous Research launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 66¢ | $33 | −$6 −16% |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 68¢ → 66¢ | $33 | −$1 −3.7% |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 45 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $33 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 50 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $33 | +$1 +1.6% |
