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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 85% | +7 pts | +1 pts | 82¢ · 87¢ (5¢) | $128 | in 441d |
| December 31, 2026 | 24% | +2 pts | −11 pts | 22¢ · 25¢ (3¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119d |  fleeth | Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$13 +1.3% | 2 |
| 120d |  Writeoff | Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$37 +3.4% | 2 |
| 135d | gydmasg | Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | +$77 +6.4% | 2 |
| 138d | ortralthul | Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$185 +13% | 2 |
Crystofar110 shares
0xEmoni48 shares
LornaPredicts347 shares
Anjun222 shares
gautamgg100 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Reya officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Reya will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 85¢ for December 31, 2027 means the market gives it about 85%.