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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 15d |
| November 30 | 3% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 45d |
| December 31 | 7% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 6¢ · 9¢ (2¢) | $8.51 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,806 | +$55 +1.1% | 20 | |
| 32d | October 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $3,174 | +$58 +1.8% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 1%.