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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28% | −1 pts | −3 pts | 28¢ · 29¢ (1¢) | $20 | in 287d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | nverg2 fills | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellYes32¢ → 28¢ | $4,512 | +$494 +11% | — |
| 4d | liusha3 fills | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellYes33¢ → 28¢ | $8,031 | +$1,049 +13% | — |
| 5d | zhizhuj | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo67¢ → 72¢ | $6,231 | +$419 +6.7% | 40 |
| 5d | niumow | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo67¢ → 72¢ | $6,834 | +$459 +6.7% | 40 |
| 5d | llongw2 fills | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo67¢ → 72¢ | $5,427 | +$365 +6.7% | 40 |
| 5d | bajias | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo67¢ → 72¢ | $7,370 | +$495 +6.7% | 40 |
| 8d |  0xdc3E831cad | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo69¢ → 72¢ | $3,272 | +$119 +3.6% | 40 |
| 8d | On.The.Spectrum | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellNo68¢ → 72¢ | $3,686 | −$162 −4.4% | — |
| 14d |  ScottyNooo4 fills | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo66¢ → 72¢ | $11,573 | +$1,015 +8.8% | 40 |
| 18d | KiernanMeister | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellNo70¢ → 72¢ | $1,228 | −$26 −2.1% | — |
| 26d |  wienerdog | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellNo74¢ → 72¢ | $1,065 | +$36 +3.4% | — |
| 30d |  paddaa | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellNo76¢ → 72¢ | $6,844 | +$411 +6.0% | — |
| 37d |  qizhan2 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo70¢ → 72¢ | $1,388 | +$30 +2.1% | 40 |
| 38d |  FrozenParasite | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellNo70¢ → 72¢ | $1,787 | −$38 −2.1% | — |
| 38d | paddaa3 fills | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo66¢ → 72¢ | $8,494 | +$773 +9.1% | 40 |
| 39d | ScottyNooo3 fills | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes38¢ → 28¢ | $11,588 | −$2,987 −26% | 45 |
| 42d | bimbytodd23 fills | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes36¢ → 28¢ | $6,341 | −$1,270 −20% | 45 |
| 52d | Natstar777 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellYes46¢ → 28¢ | $1,600 | +$610 +38% | — |
| 57d | ZaGambla | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellNo56¢ → 72¢ | $2,800 | −$775 −28% | — |
| 57d | Mi-pucio3 fills | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes55¢ → 28¢ | $4,349 | −$2,082 −48% | 40 |
| 68d | Natstar7775 fills | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes43¢ → 28¢ | $9,076 | −$3,113 −34% | 43 |
| 77d | Odd-Deformation | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellNo51¢ → 72¢ | $1,284 | −$503 −39% | — |
| 87d |  seal72 fills | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellNo66¢ → 72¢ | $5,169 | −$462 −8.9% | — |
| 95d | yieldaspec | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellYes46¢ → 28¢ | $1,110 | +$426 +38% | — |
| 95d | yieldaspec | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes47¢ → 28¢ | $1,070 | −$421 −39% | 40 |
| 98d |  siick | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes47¢ → 28¢ | $1,337 | −$526 −39% | 40 |
| 98d | pop | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo55¢ → 72¢ | $1,696 | +$512 +30% | 40 |
| 99d | KoloJones2 fills | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes46¢ → 28¢ | $2,600 | −$993 −38% | 41 |
| 101d | placerv2 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellYes40¢ → 28¢ | $1,057 | +$305 +29% | — |
| 101d | placerv2 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo55¢ → 72¢ | $1,905 | +$581 +30% | 40 |
| 102d | bshardy | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes52¢ → 28¢ | $1,428 | −$645 −45% | 40 |
| 102d | darthgeek | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes49¢ → 28¢ | $1,285 | −$544 −42% | 40 |
| 102d | darthgeek1338 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes44¢ → 28¢ | $2,160 | −$769 −36% | 41 |
| 106d | pm-hk | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellYes41¢ → 28¢ | $1,222 | +$367 +30% | — |
| 106d | On.The.Spectrum | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo58¢ → 72¢ | $5,757 | +$1,393 +24% | 40 |
| 107d | Certify0148 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellYes53¢ → 28¢ | $1,044 | +$484 +46% | — |
| 107d | criollo2 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo49¢ → 72¢ | $1,587 | +$732 +46% | 40 |
| 107d | Certify0148 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes42¢ → 28¢ | $2,916 | −$936 −32% | 42 |
| 108d | Odd-Deformation | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo63¢ → 72¢ | $1,575 | +$213 +13% | 40 |
| 110d |  StarMaster | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellYes42¢ → 28¢ | $1,554 | +$499 +32% | — |
| 110d | seal7 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo57¢ → 72¢ | $4,488 | +$1,142 +25% | 40 |
| 111d | visesim | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellYes51¢ → 28¢ | $1,384 | +$604 +44% | — |
| 111d | visesim | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes47¢ → 28¢ | $1,285 | −$505 −39% | 40 |
| 111d | Xf5BB44d0D51C6A04B8E29 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SellNo58¢ → 72¢ | $1,151 | −$279 −24% | — |
| 112d | Xf5BB44d0D51C6A04B8E29 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo59¢ → 72¢ | $1,170 | +$260 +22% | 40 |
| 112d | FrozenParasite | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyYes31¢ → 28¢ | $1,569 | −$138 −8.8% | 42 |
| 112d | FrozenParasite | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BuyNo48¢ → 72¢ | $4,586 | +$2,214 +48% | 41 |
Outsid3rTrading3,000 shares0xdc3E831cad6,226 sharesqizhan21,983 shares
neetbets1,949 shares
0x87121,000 sharesTyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 28¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 28%.