| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 7,500 | 61¢ → 85¢ | $6,338 | +$1,761 +38% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,000 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $4,250 | +$68 +1.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,000 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $4,025 | +$319 +8.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 4,000 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $3,836 | +$232 +6.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 4,000 | 55¢ → 77¢ | $3,070 | +$866 +39% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3,000 | 65¢ → 89¢ | $2,655 | +$697 +36% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Ends in 440d | No | 3,211 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $2,488 | +$22 +0.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,000 | 8¢ → 65¢ | $1,935 | +$1,684 +670% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,000 | 39¢ → 63¢ | $1,875 | +$711 +61% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,000 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $1,870 | +$190 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,000 | 50¢ → 91¢ | $1,810 | +$810 +81% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | Yes | 2,000 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $1,410 | −$10 −0.7% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,610 | 67¢ → 83¢ | $1,328 | +$244 +22% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,500 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $1,313 | +$6 +0.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 2,000 | 55¢ → 61¢ | $1,210 | +$105 +9.5% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,250 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $1,156 | +$54 +4.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 3,500 | 39¢ → 32¢ | $1,102 | −$257 −19% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,500 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $1,073 | +$8 +0.7% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 2,000 | 50¢ → 53¢ | $1,069 | +$61 +6.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,491 | 52¢ → 71¢ | $1,051 | +$276 +36% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d | No | 1,250 | 59¢ → 84¢ | $1,044 | +$304 +41% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,300 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $1,040 | +$90 +9.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,000 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $993 | +$83 +9.1% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,000 | 60¢ → 98¢ | $984 | +$380 +63% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,500 | 42¢ → 66¢ | $983 | +$357 +57% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 1,000 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $977 | +$47 +5.1% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,001 | 42¢ → 97¢ | $974 | +$553 +131% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $967 | +$19 +2.1% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $965 | +$145 +18% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $960 | +$30 +3.2% |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Ends ended | Yes | 1,000 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $957 | +$23 +2.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 1,000 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $955 | +$45 +5.0% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $945 | +$25 +2.7% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,000 | 71¢ → 95¢ | $945 | +$236 +33% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 2,000 | 37¢ → 46¢ | $929 | +$186 +25% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,000 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $895 | +$42 +5.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 63¢ → 88¢ | $875 | +$249 +40% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $865 | +$155 +22% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $865 | +$165 +24% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $865 | −$5 −0.6% |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Ends in 240d | Yes | 1,000 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $825 | −$35 −4.1% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 71¢ → 80¢ | $800 | +$94 +13% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 1,000 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $765 | +$15 +2.0% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1171d | Yes | 1,505 | 50¢ → 51¢ | $760 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $760 | −$18 −2.4% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,000 | 64¢ → 75¢ | $745 | +$107 +17% |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d | Yes | 1,350 | 62¢ → 55¢ | $736 | −$105 −12% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Ends in 33d | No | 750 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $726 | +$52 +7.8% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 134d | No | 805 | 43¢ → 90¢ | $724 | +$377 +109% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 751 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $721 | +$123 +21% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 750 | 73¢ → 96¢ | $716 | +$169 +31% |
| Greenland snap election called by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 750 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $711 | +$44 +6.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $705 | −$5 −0.7% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 750 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $694 | +$133 +24% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 750 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $694 | +$116 +20% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,000 | 73¢ → 68¢ | $680 | −$55 −7.5% |
| Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 756 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $676 | +$71 +12% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,750 | 37¢ → 39¢ | $674 | +$24 +3.7% |
| Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Ends in 240d | Yes | 1,000 | 58¢ → 67¢ | $665 | +$80 +14% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,250 | 46¢ → 53¢ | $658 | +$81 +14% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 26¢ → 65¢ | $652 | +$389 +148% |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 43d | Yes | 750 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $634 | +$11 +1.8% |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 750 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $626 | +$23 +3.7% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,000 | 66¢ → 62¢ | $615 | −$48 −7.3% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 700 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $571 | +$19 +3.4% |
| Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?Ends in 17d | No | 750 | 69¢ → 72¢ | $536 | +$21 +4.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 750 | 63¢ → 72¢ | $536 | +$65 +14% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 750 | 10¢ → 72¢ | $536 | +$461 +609% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 750 | 56¢ → 71¢ | $529 | +$107 +25% |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 541 | 46¢ → 96¢ | $519 | +$270 +108% |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 921 | 52¢ → 55¢ | $502 | +$26 +5.4% |
| Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany?Ends in 1171d | No | 504 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $491 | +$81 +20% |
| Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 9d | Yes | 500 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $474 | +$42 +9.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 50¢ → 47¢ | $470 | −$25 −5.1% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 495 | 74¢ → 94¢ | $467 | +$100 +27% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $465 | +$62 +15% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 500 | 75¢ → 91¢ | $453 | +$77 +20% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 500 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $453 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | No | 500 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $452 | +$2 +0.4% |
| Modi out by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 500 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $448 | +$39 +9.7% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $443 | +$52 +13% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 72¢ → 89¢ | $443 | +$84 +24% |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 500 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $433 | +$38 +9.5% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 500 | 55¢ → 85¢ | $423 | +$150 +55% |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 89d | No | 500 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $415 | +$7 +1.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 8h | Yes | 417 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $413 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 42¢ → 41¢ | $405 | −$20 −4.7% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 500 | 68¢ → 80¢ | $397 | +$57 +17% |
| Will more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Ends in 17d | Yes | 400 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $396 | +$76 +24% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | No | 400 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $387 | +$85 +28% |
| Denmark snap election called by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 383 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $377 | +$32 +9.3% |
| Will Jakub Mensik Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsEnds ended | No | 400 | 65¢ → 94¢ | $376 | +$117 +45% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 29¢ → 38¢ | $375 | +$85 +29% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 63¢ → 75¢ | $373 | +$58 +18% |
| Will Tommy Paul Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsEnds ended | No | 400 | 69¢ → 93¢ | $371 | +$93 +34% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 16¢ → 71¢ | $357 | +$277 +347% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 2,000 | 22¢ → 18¢ | $350 | −$100 −22% |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 71¢ → 69¢ | $345 | −$8 −2.2% |
| Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 62¢ → 57¢ | $342 | −$30 −8.2% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 400 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $334 | +$8 +2.3% |
