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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $7.5K | in 33d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | momo513 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SellNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,034 | −$30 −2.9% | — |
| 13d |  TheEmprah4 fills | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $8,326 | +$441 +5.3% | 25 |
| 26d | momo513 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $1,615 | +$30 +1.8% | 23 |
| 30d | 0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd492 fills | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $3,660 | +$210 +5.7% | 26 |
| 51d | Composed-Creditor | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyYes10¢ → 3¢ | $1,500 | −$1,029 −69% | 39 |
| 52d | KingBlue2 fills | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $3,611 | +$207 +5.7% | 26 |
| 55d |  Hyperlong | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyNo89¢ → 97¢ | $4,509 | +$383 +8.5% | 27 |
| 57d |  zthunderfury | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SellNo91¢ → 97¢ | $7,280 | −$460 −6.3% | — |
| 58d | CloudCactus | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SellNo91¢ → 97¢ | $3,818 | −$241 −6.3% | — |
| 71d | njl90 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SellNo89¢ → 97¢ | $1,108 | −$96 −8.7% | — |
| 82d | Gladius7 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SellNo88¢ → 97¢ | $1,083 | −$103 −9.5% | — |
| 109d | ToyodaMan2 fills | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SellNo89¢ → 97¢ | $3,145 | −$258 −8.2% | — |
| 114d |  TomReadingANewspaper | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SellYes10¢ → 3¢ | $1,009 | +$684 +68% | — |
| 117d | zthunderfury4 fills | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyNo84¢ → 97¢ | $8,163 | +$1,259 +15% | 31 |
| 121d |  Ahpo2 fills | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyNo85¢ → 97¢ | $3,207 | +$439 +14% | 30 |
| 126d | kernel.panic | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SellNo77¢ → 97¢ | $1,163 | −$298 −26% | — |
| 132d |  saintaphextwin | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SellNo75¢ → 97¢ | $5,782 | −$1,677 −29% | — |
| 142d |  AlwaysRegressing2 fills | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SellNo77¢ → 97¢ | $3,015 | −$783 −26% | — |
| 144d |  MartinArauz | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SellNo78¢ → 97¢ | $1,684 | −$405 −24% | — |
| 148d |  Zenef | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyNo81¢ → 97¢ | $1,100 | +$217 +20% | 27 |
| 148d | neutralwave23 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SellNo77¢ → 97¢ | $1,729 | −$442 −26% | — |
| 148d | saintaphextwin | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyNo75¢ → 97¢ | $7,049 | +$2,044 +29% | 37 |
| 148d | neutralwave23 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyNo75¢ → 97¢ | $1,683 | +$488 +29% | 35 |
| 194d | BlueBase-568 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyNo65¢ → 97¢ | $1,249 | +$610 +49% | 33 |
| 198d | kernel.panic | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyNo71¢ → 97¢ | $1,247 | +$443 +36% | 33 |
| 243d | deepy17 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BuyNo74¢ → 97¢ | $2,684 | +$847 +32% | 38 |
cbgjvfyg6ybgfvukgv50,000 shares
vrainic10,174 sharesTheEmprah26,654 shareszthunderfury10,102 sharesOn November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 3%.