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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinícius Júnior | 15% | — | — | 14¢ · 16¢ (2¢) | $9.17K | in 45d |
| Sergio Ramos | 27% | — | — | 24¢ · 29¢ (5¢) | $5.65K | in 45d |
| Lionel Messi | 33% | — | — | 32¢ · 34¢ (2¢) | $5.56K | in 45d |
| Kaka | 32% | — | — | 31¢ · 32¢ (1¢) | $3.87K | in 45d |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $3.8K | in 45d |
| Harry Kane | 93% | — | — | 92¢ · 93¢ (1¢) | $3.46K | in 45d |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 96% | — | — | 94¢ · 98¢ (4¢) | $2.9K | in 45d |
| Rodri | 86% | — | — | 85¢ · 86¢ (1¢) | $2.63K | in 45d |
| Zinedine Zidane | 19% | — | — | 18¢ · 19¢ (1¢) | $1.96K | in 45d |
| Kylian Mbappé | 67% | — | — | 66¢ · 68¢ (2¢) | $1.77K | in 45d |
| Xavi Hernandez | 23% | — | — | 22¢ · 23¢ (1¢) | $1.25K | in 45d |
| David Beckham | 77% | — | — | 76¢ · 77¢ (1¢) | $737 | in 45d |
| Michael Owen | 52% | — | — | 36¢ · 67¢ (31¢) | $600 | in 45d |
| Lamine Yamal | 94% | — | — | 94¢ · 94¢ (<1¢) | $364 | in 45d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12h | KiernanMeister | Ousmane Dembélé | BuyYes79¢ → 96¢ | $1,399 | +$306 +22% | 18 |
Socialista483 shares
Anjun222 shares
Haradwaith126 shares
DREAMBIG.50 sharesThe 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 15¢ for Vinícius Júnior means the market gives it about 15%.