| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 470 | 57¢ → 67¢ | $315 | +$48 +18% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 269 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $232 | +$22 +11% |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 235 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $216 | +$7 +3.4% |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 74d | No | 313 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $205 | −$2 −1.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $188 | +$33 +22% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 285 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $178 | −$3 −1.8% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 212 | 71¢ → 75¢ | $159 | +$9 +5.7% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 174 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $154 | +$4 +2.8% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 158 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $149 | +$9 +6.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 153 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $138 | −$2 −1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 189 | 69¢ → 72¢ | $136 | +$6 +4.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 342 | 37¢ → 40¢ | $135 | +$9 +6.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 213 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $133 | −$5 −3.6% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 145 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $132 | +$1 +0.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 137 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $132 | +$5 +4.3% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 235 | 59¢ → 56¢ | $131 | −$9 −6.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 231 | 56¢ → 55¢ | $126 | −$3 −2.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 139 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $126 | +$6 +4.7% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 176 | 62¢ → 69¢ | $120 | +$11 +9.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 867 | 24¢ → 14¢ | $117 | −$90 −43% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 143 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $115 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 154 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $115 | +$1 +0.7% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 170 | 79¢ → 67¢ | $114 | −$21 −16% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 120 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $113 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 145 | 60¢ → 69¢ | $99 | +$13 +15% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 454 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $93 | −$11 −11% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 200 | 42¢ → 46¢ | $93 | +$9 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 134 | 60¢ → 65¢ | $86 | +$5 +6.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 625 | 25¢ → 13¢ | $83 | −$72 −46% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 101 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $82 | +$9 +12% |
| Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | No | 87 | 52¢ → 93¢ | $80 | +$35 +78% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 84 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $80 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 83 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $75 | +$5 +7.7% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 78 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $74 | +$4 +6.4% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 77 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $74 | +$4 +5.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 81 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $74 | +$4 +5.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 7d | No | 636 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $73 | +$3 +4.8% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 75 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $73 | +$3 +4.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 368 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $72 | +$2 +2.6% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 81 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $70 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 94 | 53¢ → 74¢ | $69 | +$19 +39% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | No | 86 | 56¢ → 79¢ | $68 | +$20 +41% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 77 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $68 | −$2 −2.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 226 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $67 | +$2 +3.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | Yes | 182 | 38¢ → 36¢ | $65 | −$4 −5.3% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 99 | 70¢ → 66¢ | $65 | −$5 −6.9% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 92 | 63¢ → 70¢ | $64 | +$6 +9.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 91 | 55¢ → 66¢ | $60 | +$10 +19% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | No | 637 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $59 | −$11 −15% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | No | 82 | 61¢ → 69¢ | $56 | +$6 +12% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 69 | 58¢ → 81¢ | $56 | +$16 +40% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 202 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $56 | −$5 −8.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 93 | 54¢ → 60¢ | $55 | +$5 +10% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | No | 73 | 34¢ → 76¢ | $55 | +$30 +124% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 60 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $55 | +$5 +9.0% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 82 | 61¢ → 67¢ | $55 | +$5 +9.0% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 59 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $54 | +$4 +8.9% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $53 | +$3 +5.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 86 | 57¢ → 61¢ | $52 | +$3 +5.4% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 83 | 60¢ → 61¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.8% |
| LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?Ends in 647d | Yes | 59 | 90¢ → 85¢ | $50 | −$3 −5.2% |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | Yes | 62 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $50 | $0 0.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 54 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $50 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 59 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 64 | 70¢ → 77¢ | $49 | +$4 +9.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 126 | 39¢ → 39¢ | $49 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Khamzat Chimaev next?Ends in 274d | No | 50 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$7 +16% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 49 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $47 | +$2 +4.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 53 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $47 | +$2 +4.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 74 | 57¢ → 62¢ | $46 | +$4 +8.9% |
| Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $45 | +$5 +13% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $45 | +$5 +13% |
| Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | Yes | 48 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $45 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 150 | 33¢ → 30¢ | $44 | −$5 −11% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 176 | 34¢ → 25¢ | $44 | −$16 −26% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 45 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $44 | +$4 +9.1% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 61 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $43 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 50 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$3 +6.9% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 45 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $43 | +$3 +8.2% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 243 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $43 | −$4 −9.0% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 44 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $41 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$2 +5.1% |
| Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 78¢ | $39 | +$3 +7.9% |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | No | 50 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $37 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?Ends in 256d | Yes | 39 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $36 | +$6 +21% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 104 | 16¢ → 33¢ | $34 | +$17 +101% |
| Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 57¢ → 79¢ | $33 | +$9 +38% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 33 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $32 | +$4 +16% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 60 | 69¢ → 53¢ | $32 | −$10 −23% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 123 | 30¢ → 25¢ | $30 | −$7 −18% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 106 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $29 | +$3 +11% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | No | 30 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $28 | +$3 +11% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 41¢ → 47¢ | $28 | +$3 +13% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 74¢ → >99¢ | $27 | +$7 +34% |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $26 | +$6 +28% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 75 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $26 | −$1 −2.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 221 | 29¢ → 12¢ | $25 | −$39 −60% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 36 | 73¢ → 70¢ | $25 | −$1 −4.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 353 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $25 | −$35 −59% |
