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Polymarket · Politics
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
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Contentious-Dinnerdate414 shares
Haradwaith220 shares
GollumGekko179 shares
Anjun66 shares
mombil669 shares
Belgaron653 shares
vinii332 shares
FrozenParasite200 shares
TheMasterMind200 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 6%.