| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 260,000 | 50¢ → 87¢ | $225,290 | +$95,290 +73% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 55,000 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $53,707 | +$8,608 +19% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 260,000 | 50¢ → 13¢ | $34,710 | −$95,290 −73% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 20,000 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $18,100 | +$100 +0.6% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 294,448 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $14,575 | +$3,173 +28% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15,000 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $14,175 | +$2,131 +18% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 7,621 | 69¢ → 89¢ | $6,745 | +$1,479 +28% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10,167 | 59¢ → 65¢ | $6,558 | +$559 +9.3% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 6,335 | 46¢ → >99¢ | $6,323 | +$3,418 +118% |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,628 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $5,448 | +$130 +2.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 53,428 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $4,782 | −$1,491 −24% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 7,123 | 57¢ → 63¢ | $4,452 | +$392 +9.6% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 155,988 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $4,290 | +$692 +19% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,407 | 45¢ → 97¢ | $4,260 | +$2,289 +116% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 114,713 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $3,728 | +$1,359 +57% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 23,951 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $3,712 | +$288 +8.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 20,000 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $3,100 | +$300 +11% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,799 | 5¢ → 96¢ | $2,680 | +$2,534 +1735% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 5,603 | 9¢ → 46¢ | $2,603 | +$2,098 +416% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,606 | 60¢ → 72¢ | $2,578 | +$403 +19% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1171d | Yes | 4,947 | 48¢ → 51¢ | $2,498 | +$135 +5.7% |
| Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,241 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $2,179 | +$107 +5.1% |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Ends in 17d | No | 1,963 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $1,940 | +$147 +8.2% |
| Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,881 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $1,855 | +$74 +4.2% |
| Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,775 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $1,736 | +$100 +6.1% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,675 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $1,651 | +$115 +7.5% |
| Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 440d | No | 1,672 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $1,631 | +$78 +5.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 10,567 | 16¢ → 15¢ | $1,601 | −$72 −4.3% |
| Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,452 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $1,431 | +$71 +5.2% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,408 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $1,399 | +$107 +8.3% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,405 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $1,389 | +$82 +6.3% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,379 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,343 | +$34 +2.6% |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,386 | 66¢ → 93¢ | $1,284 | +$367 +40% |
| Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,222 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $1,176 | +$37 +3.2% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 20,802 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $1,175 | +$214 +22% |
| Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?Ends in 1171d | No | 1,294 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $1,120 | +$143 +15% |
| Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,101 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $1,086 | +$29 +2.7% |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,037 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $1,008 | +$31 +3.2% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,024 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $989 | +$160 +19% |
| Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $975 | +$71 +7.8% |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 980 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $957 | +$36 +3.9% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | No | 2,461 | 19¢ → 39¢ | $948 | +$479 +102% |
| Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 954 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $943 | +$50 +5.6% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 938 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $904 | +$43 +5.0% |
| Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 937 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $890 | +$23 +2.7% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 161,651 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $889 | −$1,160 −57% |
| Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 917 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $853 | +$41 +5.0% |
| Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 852 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $822 | +$12 +1.5% |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 512,474 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $769 | −$556 −42% |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 721 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $693 | +$11 +1.7% |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 771 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $691 | −$2 −0.3% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 5,471 | 1¢ → 13¢ | $684 | +$629 +1150% |
| Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 688 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $653 | +$6 +1.0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 669 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $645 | +$10 +1.6% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 7,530 | 1¢ → 9¢ | $640 | +$565 +750% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Ends in 75d | No | 669 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $632 | +$69 +12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 6,573 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $624 | +$99 +19% |
| Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 616 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $598 | +$25 +4.4% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 757 | 56¢ → 71¢ | $537 | +$113 +27% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 890 | 51¢ → 59¢ | $525 | +$74 +17% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,000 | 8¢ → 17¢ | $497 | +$254 +105% |
| Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 522 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $493 | +$36 +7.9% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 511 | 25¢ → 96¢ | $489 | +$361 +283% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 528 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $479 | −$3 −0.5% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,000 | 6¢ → 14¢ | $428 | +$240 +128% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 21,756 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $424 | +$163 +62% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 555 | 69¢ → 74¢ | $408 | +$25 +6.5% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 111,854 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $391 | −$54 −12% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 351 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $338 | +$27 +8.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 444 | 60¢ → 72¢ | $317 | +$51 +19% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,051 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $287 | −$915 −76% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 179,443 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $269 | −$598 −69% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 257 | 47¢ → 98¢ | $251 | +$130 +108% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 9,262 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $236 | +$32 +16% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,115 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $235 | +$5 +2.0% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 221 | 65¢ → 97¢ | $214 | +$71 +50% |
| Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 207 | 60¢ → >99¢ | $206 | +$82 +66% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,000 | 31¢ → 7¢ | $195 | −$735 −79% |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 196 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $189 | +$29 +18% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboEnds in 75d | Yes | 5,436 | 18¢ → 3¢ | $177 | −$819 −82% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,345 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $142 | −$199 −58% |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 146 | 59¢ → 96¢ | $140 | +$54 +62% |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 144 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $138 | +$23 +19% |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 552 | 8¢ → 25¢ | $136 | +$92 +211% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 7,427 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $130 | −$12 −8.5% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 18,281 | 18¢ → 1¢ | $91 | −$3,233 −97% |
| Will Marco Reus retire before 1 July 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 160 | 51¢ → 53¢ | $85 | +$3 +4.0% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 90 | 70¢ → 80¢ | $72 | +$9 +14% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,044 | 30¢ → 7¢ | $68 | −$243 −78% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 72 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $67 | +$7 +11% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 47% in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 72 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $66 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 440d | OpenAI | 1,171 | 35¢ → 5¢ | $56 | −$349 −86% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,484 | 18¢ → 4¢ | $54 | −$211 −80% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 379 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $47 | +$4 +9.0% |
| Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 46 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $41 | +$6 +18% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | 42¢ → 92¢ | $34 | +$19 +118% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Ends in 440d | Yes | 209 | 3¢ → 16¢ | $33 | +$27 +481% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 33 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $32 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 744 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 818 | 39¢ → 3¢ | $27 | −$292 −91% |
