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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | −4 pts | −7 pts | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | $7.51K | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | thoodr2 fills | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ → 92¢ | $3,130 | +$256 +8.2% | 30 |
| 13d |  Belgaron | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SellNo83¢ → 92¢ | $2,639 | −$270 −10% | — |
| 15d | 0xd88f…863d | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BuyYes17¢ → 9¢ | $1,000 | −$512 −51% | 31 |
| 17d | DueDiligenceDan | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SellNo82¢ → 92¢ | $1,165 | −$137 −12% | — |
| 18d | Jjw | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SellNo82¢ → 92¢ | $2,672 | −$310 −12% | — |
| 28d | DueDiligenceDan | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 92¢ | $1,223 | +$78 +6.4% | 26 |
| 31d |  Parz1vaI3 fills | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BuyNo79¢ → 92¢ | $13,795 | +$2,198 +16% | 34 |
| 39d | Parz1vaI | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SellYes26¢ → 9¢ | $1,587 | +$1,061 +67% | — |
| 40d | Parz1vaI | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BuyYes19¢ → 9¢ | $1,444 | −$813 −56% | 38 |
| 40d |  betwick | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BuyYes17¢ → 9¢ | $1,827 | −$894 −49% | 43 |
| 41d | lassenstr | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 92¢ | $1,032 | +$66 +6.4% | 25 |
| 42d |  molodoyy | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SellYes26¢ → 9¢ | $1,301 | +$882 +68% | — |
| 43d | CryptoLBL | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BuyNo83¢ → 92¢ | $9,867 | +$1,031 +10% | 31 |
| 43d | molodoyy | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BuyYes50¢ → 9¢ | $1,762 | −$1,462 −83% | 39 |
| 151d |  Hyperlong2 fills | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ → 92¢ | $3,435 | +$258 +7.5% | 30 |
| 180d | gummy-usb | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BuyNo78¢ → 92¢ | $1,134 | +$193 +17% | 29 |
betwick21,231 shares
Optimus-5,004 shares
Mr-Krabs4,416 shares
PaddyAlpha3,710 shares
kl1v3,030 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 9¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 9%.
