| Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?Ends in 180d | Yes | 2,063 | 57¢ → 89¢ | $1,826 | +$643 +54% |
| Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,654 | 52¢ → 84¢ | $1,381 | +$514 +59% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,725 | 21¢ → 75¢ | $1,285 | +$924 +255% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,444 | 59¢ → 83¢ | $1,199 | +$348 +41% |
| Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027?Ends in 195d | Yes | 806 | 75¢ → 92¢ | $742 | +$141 +23% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | Yes | 1,597 | 30¢ → 46¢ | $734 | +$248 +51% |
| Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | Yes | 1,274 | 40¢ → 56¢ | $720 | +$207 +41% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 840 | 59¢ → 82¢ | $685 | +$192 +39% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 741 | 30¢ → 90¢ | $668 | +$448 +203% |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 725 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $649 | +$32 +5.2% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $100 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 673 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $629 | +$109 +21% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 640 | 41¢ → 88¢ | $560 | +$297 +113% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,010 | 29¢ → 53¢ | $539 | +$243 +82% |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 672 | 28¢ → 77¢ | $518 | +$327 +172% |
| Next Gemini Argon released by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 640 | 49¢ → 75¢ | $477 | +$164 +53% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 754 | 51¢ → 62¢ | $467 | +$85 +22% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 622 | 13¢ → 74¢ | $463 | +$379 +453% |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Ends in 2d | Yes | 458 | 52¢ → 98¢ | $451 | +$214 +90% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $303,000 and $308,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 463 | 77¢ → 97¢ | $448 | +$90 +25% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 663 | 55¢ → 67¢ | $441 | +$77 +21% |
| Will Jay Z release an album in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 588 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $435 | +$23 +5.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 540 | 59¢ → 80¢ | $432 | +$113 +36% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 478 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $411 | +$18 +4.7% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 464 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $401 | +$77 +24% |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 445 | 18¢ → 86¢ | $382 | +$304 +390% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 502 | 31¢ → 75¢ | $376 | +$220 +142% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 359 | 68¢ → 99¢ | $353 | +$111 +46% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 361 | 52¢ → 95¢ | $343 | +$153 +81% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | Yes | 820 | 15¢ → 40¢ | $324 | +$204 +171% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 3,687 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $313 | +$41 +15% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 651 | 63¢ → 48¢ | $309 | −$98 −24% |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 323 | 69¢ → 88¢ | $286 | +$64 +29% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 666 | 18¢ → 42¢ | $279 | +$158 +131% |
| Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $48B?Ends in 66d | No | 319 | 72¢ → 87¢ | $278 | +$48 +21% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 565 | 39¢ → 49¢ | $274 | +$56 +26% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 337 | 10¢ → 76¢ | $258 | +$225 +680% |
| Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | No | 260 | 73¢ → 96¢ | $251 | +$61 +32% |
| Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.1B?Ends in 37d | Yes | 319 | 52¢ → 77¢ | $245 | +$79 +47% |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 958 | 40¢ → 25¢ | $235 | −$147 −39% |
| Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 248 | 69¢ → 94¢ | $232 | +$60 +35% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,208 | 12¢ → 19¢ | $231 | +$83 +56% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,573 | 51¢ → 14¢ | $228 | −$582 −72% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 452 | 75¢ → 51¢ | $228 | −$112 −33% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 241 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $228 | +$35 +18% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 350 | 52¢ → 65¢ | $227 | +$44 +24% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 291 | 67¢ → 78¢ | $227 | +$33 +17% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 369 | 27¢ → 61¢ | $225 | +$126 +127% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 251 | 54¢ → 89¢ | $222 | +$86 +64% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 310 | 63¢ → 72¢ | $221 | +$27 +14% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,517 | 40¢ → 14¢ | $220 | −$389 −64% |
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or below $10 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 278 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $211 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 650 | 44¢ → 33¢ | $211 | −$73 −26% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 236 | 76¢ → 89¢ | $210 | +$31 +17% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 302 | 76¢ → 69¢ | $207 | −$22 −9.6% |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 218 | 34¢ → 92¢ | $200 | +$125 +169% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 418 | 54¢ → 48¢ | $199 | −$27 −12% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 337 | 44¢ → 59¢ | $197 | +$47 +32% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 393 | 45¢ → 49¢ | $192 | +$17 +10.0% |
| Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 224 | 69¢ → 86¢ | $191 | +$37 +24% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 254 | 68¢ → 75¢ | $189 | +$18 +10% |
| Will AbbVie Q3 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.6B?Ends in 12d | Yes | 220 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $188 | +$30 +19% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 45d | Yes | 782 | 22¢ → 24¢ | $188 | +$15 +8.9% |
| Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.80B?Ends in 22d | No | 218 | 69¢ → 85¢ | $184 | +$33 +22% |
| Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.35B?Ends in 3d | Yes | 188 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $183 | +$23 +15% |
| Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q1 total revenues be above $3.95B?Ends in 10d | Yes | 191 | 68¢ → 96¢ | $183 | +$54 +41% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,738 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $183 | −$3 −1.5% |
| Will Chevron (CVX) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?Ends in 12d | No | 190 | 60¢ → 95¢ | $180 | +$66 +58% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 276 | 55¢ → 65¢ | $178 | +$26 +17% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 231 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $178 | +$11 +6.3% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 338 | 14¢ → 53¢ | $178 | +$129 +266% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 245 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $174 | +$9 +5.5% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 277 | 47¢ → 61¢ | $168 | +$38 +30% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 206 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $168 | +$12 +7.9% |
| Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $360M?Ends in 45d | Yes | 195 | 55¢ → 85¢ | $166 | +$60 +56% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,316 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $164 | +$60 +58% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 66¢ → 82¢ | $164 | +$32 +24% |
| Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 220?Ends in 9d | Yes | 190 | 73¢ → 87¢ | $164 | +$25 +18% |
| Will Meta (META) Q3 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $35B?Ends in 3d | Yes | 190 | 73¢ → 86¢ | $162 | +$24 +17% |
| Will AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth be below 0.5%?Ends in 51d | Yes | 490 | 14¢ → 33¢ | $162 | +$95 +142% |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 15.5%+?Ends in 9d | No | 210 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $161 | +$3 +2.0% |
| Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 300 | 80¢ → 54¢ | $161 | −$80 −33% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $105B?Ends in 31d | No | 203 | 54¢ → 79¢ | $160 | +$50 +45% |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Ends in 256d | No | 284 | 53¢ → 56¢ | $159 | +$7 +4.8% |
| Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 334 | 51¢ → 47¢ | $155 | −$15 −8.8% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 449 | 50¢ → 34¢ | $153 | −$70 −31% |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 762 | 51¢ → 20¢ | $152 | −$238 −61% |
| Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 220 | 53¢ → 69¢ | $152 | +$35 +30% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 836 | 15¢ → 18¢ | $150 | +$26 +20% |
| Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix 22% to 26%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 333 | 31¢ → 45¢ | $148 | +$44 +42% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 30¢ | $148 | +$123 +490% |
| Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 155 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $144 | +$21 +17% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.8B?Ends in 10d | No | 160 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $144 | +$13 +9.6% |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 14d | No | 143 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $143 | +$27 +24% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 179 | 53¢ → 79¢ | $140 | +$46 +49% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 354 | 6¢ → 40¢ | $140 | +$118 +558% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 202 | 24¢ → 67¢ | $134 | +$85 +174% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be at least $510,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 139 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $133 | +$11 +9.2% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 45d | Yes | 565 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $133 | −$5 −3.8% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 853 | 13¢ → 16¢ | $132 | +$18 +16% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 4,934 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $131 | +$65 +98% |
