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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 7% | — | −9 pts | 4¢ · 9¢ (5¢) | — | in 14d |
| December 31 | 9% | +1 pts | −11 pts | 8¢ · 10¢ (2¢) | — | in 75d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user, and made it free to use, including the cloud computer. SpaceXAI's similar product, Grok Bot, launched on August 11, 2026, is available only on paid SuperGrok and Cursor plans. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI makes Grok Bot available for use without requiring a paid subscription or other paid entitlement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Free access subject to usage limits will qualify. Access through a free trial or promotional offer of a paid plan will not qualify. Free access must be launched and publicly accessible through an official distribution channel, including via open beta or a gradual rollout to users without a paid subscription or other paid entitlement. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 7¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 7%.